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Compare Fiorentina vs AC Milan

Fiorentina vs AC Milan Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Fiorentina vs AC Milan: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Fiorentina Fiorentina Home Team
AC Milan AC Milan Away Team
Fiorentina
61.8
D W W L W D W W W D

Last 10 Matches

AC Milan
53.6
W L L W L W W L D W

Categories Won

9

Fiorentina

3

Draw

2

AC Milan

Performance Radar

Fiorentina
AC Milan

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 3D, 1L

50%

5W, 1D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.9

9 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+5

+5

0

0

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
C. Ndour (3 goals)
S. Pavlović (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
56.3

League Difficulty: 85.2, Opponent Quality: 63.5

64.6

League Difficulty: 90.0, Opponent Quality: 63.9

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Adjusted Power Rating
61.8

Attack: 49.6, Defense: 74.4, Form: 63.8

53.6

Attack: 38.2, Defense: 76.4, Form: 57.3

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

4

16-30'

1

31-45'

4
2

46-60'

2
3

61-75'

1
4

76-90+'

3
Fiorentina
AC Milan
Fiorentina

Power Rating Breakdown

61.8

Overall

Attack 49.6
Defense 74.4
Form 63.8
Consistency 61.3
AC Milan

Power Rating Breakdown

53.6

Overall

Attack 38.2
Defense 76.4
Form 57.3
Consistency 38.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

85.2 vs 90.0

Opponent Quality

63.5 vs 63.9

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 25%
Fiorentina logo Fiorentina
D
Lecce (60%)
W
Crystal Palace (68%)
W
Lazio (69%)
L
Crystal Palace (73%)
W
Verona (51%)
D
Inter Milan (73%)
W
Raków (63%)
W
Cremonese (53%)
AC Milan logo AC Milan
W
Verona (51%)
L
Udinese (62%)
L
Napoli (75%)
W
Torino (64%)
L
Lazio (74%)
W
Inter Milan (73%)
W
Cremonese (53%)
L
Parma (67%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Lecce A
1 - 1 D
60%
Crystal Palace H
2 - 1 W
68%
Lazio H
1 - 0 W
69%
Crystal Palace A
0 - 3 L
73%
Verona A
1 - 0 W
51%
Inter Milan H
1 - 1 D
73%
Raków A
2 - 1 W
63%
Cremonese A
4 - 1 W
53%
Raków H
2 - 1 W
58%
Parma H
0 - 0 D
67%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Verona A
1 - 0 W
51%
Udinese H
0 - 3 L
62%
Napoli A
0 - 1 L
75%
Torino H
3 - 2 W
64%
Lazio A
0 - 1 L
74%
Inter Milan H
1 - 0 W
73%
Cremonese A
2 - 0 W
53%
Parma H
0 - 1 L
67%
Como H
1 - 1 D
71%
Pisa A
2 - 1 W
49%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 56.3 vs 64.6), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Fiorentina holds the attacking edge with 1.4 goals per match versus AC Milan's 1.0, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Fiorentina conceding 0.9 and AC Milan conceding 1.0 per match.

AC Milan has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

AC Milan is a strong road team with a 60% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.1 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being possible.

Fiorentina has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 8.2 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

VS
AC Milan

AC Milan

Our H2H comparison uses Strength of Schedule (SoS) analysis to adjust raw statistics based on the quality of opponents each team has faced. This provides a more accurate picture than simple stat comparison.

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