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Compare Aberdeen vs Hearts

Aberdeen vs Hearts Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Aberdeen vs Hearts: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Aberdeen Aberdeen Home Team
Hearts Hearts Away Team
Aberdeen
37.6
D W L L W L L L D W

Last 10 Matches

Hearts
63.0
L D W W W W W L W W

Performance Radar

Aberdeen
Hearts

Categories Won

1

Aberdeen

3

Draw

11

Hearts

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 2D, 5L

70%

7W, 1D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.7

17 / 10 matches

2.0

20 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
2.3

23 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-6

-6

+10

+10

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
90%

9 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
H. Stewart (4 goals)
C. Johns (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 11
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 11
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

80%

4W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
44.8

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 44.7

45.4

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 45.7

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.53

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: +0.17

1.65

Actual: 2.0 | Diff: +0.35

Adjusted Power Rating
37.6

Attack: 53.7, Defense: 22.1, Form: 28.4

63.0

Attack: 63.6, Defense: 63.6, Form: 66.8

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

3
3

16-30'

31-45'

4
2

46-60'

7
2

61-75'

4
7

76-90+'

2
Aberdeen
Hearts
Aberdeen

Power Rating Breakdown

37.6

Overall

Attack 53.7
Defense 22.1
Form 28.4
Consistency 49.3
Hearts

Power Rating Breakdown

63.0

Overall

Attack 63.6
Defense 63.6
Form 66.8
Consistency 53.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

44.7 vs 45.7

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Aberdeen logo Aberdeen
D
Motherwell (54%)
W
Hamilton (20%)
L
Montrose (49%)
L
Montrose (54%)
W
Hamilton (25%)
L
Motherwell (49%)
L
Hibernian (58%)
L
Hearts (64%)
Hearts logo Hearts
L
Hibernian (63%)
D
Glasgow City (42%)
W
Celtic (43%)
W
Partick (22%)
W
Rangers (61%)
W
Glasgow City (47%)
W
Celtic (38%)
L
Hibernian (58%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Motherwell A
2 - 2 D
54%
Hamilton H
4 - 0 W
20%
Montrose H
0 - 1 L
49%
Montrose A
1 - 2 L
54%
Hamilton A
3 - 2 W
25%
Motherwell H
3 - 4 L
49%
Hibernian H
0 - 3 L
58%
Hearts A
0 - 6 L
64%
Hamilton A
2 - 2 D
25%
Motherwell H
2 - 1 W
49%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Hibernian A
0 - 2 L
63%
Glasgow City H
0 - 0 D
42%
Celtic A
2 - 1 W
43%
Partick H
3 - 0 W
22%
Rangers A
2 - 1 W
61%
Glasgow City A
1 - 0 W
47%
Celtic H
4 - 1 W
38%
Hibernian H
1 - 2 L
58%
Partick A
4 - 1 W
27%
Rangers H
3 - 2 W
56%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 44.8 vs 45.4), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Hearts holds the attacking edge with 2.0 goals per match versus Aberdeen's 1.7, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Hearts is far superior, conceding just 1.0 goals per match with 3 clean sheets, while Aberdeen leaks 2.3 per match.

Aberdeen has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Hearts has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Hearts is a strong road team with a 80% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.5 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Hearts emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (63.0 vs 37.6) and better performance against quality opposition, they should control the game. However, football always has room for surprises.

In their recent Scottish SWPL 1 match (2026-02-08), Hearts prevailed 6-0 against Aberdeen. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Hearts secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 6-0 scoreline was emphatic — Hearts completely dominated Aberdeen in that encounter, raising serious questions about Aberdeen's ability to compete at this level. Aberdeen will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Hearts will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Aberdeen

Aberdeen

VS
Hearts

Hearts

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Aberdeen

3W 2D 5L · 17 goals scored · 23 conceded

Hearts

7W 1D 2L · 20 goals scored · 10 conceded

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