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Compare Aberdeen vs Celtic

Aberdeen vs Celtic Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Aberdeen vs Celtic: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Aberdeen Aberdeen Home Team
Celtic Celtic Away Team
Aberdeen
77.5
W W W W L L W D W W

Last 10 Matches

Celtic
64.7
D D L W W W W W W W

Performance Radar

Aberdeen
Celtic

Categories Won

6

Aberdeen

3

Draw

6

Celtic

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
70%

7W, 1D, 2L

70%

7W, 2D, 1L

Goals Scored / Match
2.0

20 / 10 matches

2.7

27 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.9

9 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+11

+11

+11

+11

Clean Sheet
50%

5 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

90%

9 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
40%

4 / 10 matches

100%

10 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
K. Nisbet (8 goals)
D. Maeda (9 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 12 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 12 / 2nd Half: 15
Home Win Rate
83%

5W / 6 matches

71%

5W / 7 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

67%

2W / 3 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
68.8

League Difficulty: 60.0, Opponent Quality: 56.6

42.4

League Difficulty: 57.5, Opponent Quality: 55.3

Elite Opponent Record
100%

1W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.1

Actual: 2.0 | Diff: -0.1

2.62

Actual: 2.7 | Diff: +0.08

Adjusted Power Rating
77.5

Attack: 79.2, Defense: 83.2, Form: 83.2

64.7

Attack: 83.2, Defense: 43.1, Form: 64.7

Goal Timing Analysis

4

0-15'

2
5

16-30'

4
2

31-45'

4
2

46-60'

5
4

61-75'

2
3

76-90+'

8
Aberdeen
Celtic
Aberdeen

Power Rating Breakdown

77.5

Overall

Attack 79.2
Defense 83.2
Form 83.2
Consistency 53.2
Celtic

Power Rating Breakdown

64.7

Overall

Attack 83.2
Defense 43.1
Form 64.7
Consistency 63.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

60.0 vs 57.5

Opponent Quality

56.6 vs 55.3

Elite Opponent Record

100% vs 0%
Aberdeen logo Aberdeen
W
Kelty Hearts (45%)
W
QOTS (54%)
W
Queen's Park (48%)
W
Brora Rangers (42%)
L
Dundee (69%)
L
St. Mirren (63%)
W
Dundee Utd (58%)
D
Livingston (63%)
Celtic logo Celtic
D
AC Milan (40%)
D
Middlesbrough (45%)
L
Sporting (70%)
W
Dunfermline (50%)
W
Hearts (66%)
W
Motherwell (56%)
W
Rangers (61%)
W
Hibernian (59%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Kelty Hearts H
3 - 0 W
45%
QOTS A
4 - 1 W
54%
Queen's Park H
2 - 1 W
48%
Brora Rangers A
2 - 0 W
42%
Dundee A
2 - 3 L
69%
St. Mirren H
0 - 2 L
63%
Dundee Utd H
2 - 0 W
58%
Livingston A
2 - 2 D
63%
Kilmarnock H
1 - 0 W
70%
Hibernian H
2 - 0 W
54%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
AC Milan H
2 - 2 D
40%
Middlesbrough H
1 - 1 D
45%
Sporting A
1 - 4 L
70%
Dunfermline H
3 - 1 W
50%
Hearts H
3 - 1 W
66%
Motherwell A
3 - 2 W
56%
Rangers H
3 - 1 W
61%
Hibernian A
2 - 1 W
59%
Falkirk H
3 - 1 W
53%
St. Mirren H
6 - 2 W
53%

AI Analysis

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

Aberdeen has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 68.8 against considerably stronger competition than Celtic (SoS: 42.4). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

Offensively, Celtic outperforms Aberdeen with 2.7 goals per match to 2.0, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Defensively, Aberdeen holds the advantage — allowing just 0.9 goals per game against Celtic's 1.6.

Aberdeen has an exceptional home record with a 83% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Celtic is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

🔥 Form Momentum: Aberdeen is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 20 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

🔥 Form Momentum: Celtic is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 27 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: Both teams are on upward trajectories. Aberdeen has won 7 of their last 5, while Celtic has won 7. This clash of momentum makes the outcome particularly unpredictable.

💡 Why This Matters: The 12.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 82% win probability for Aberdeen. In practical terms, Aberdeen would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Aberdeen, with a 12.8-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Aberdeen

Aberdeen

VS
Celtic

Celtic

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Aberdeen

7W 1D 2L · 20 goals scored · 9 conceded

Celtic

7W 2D 1L · 27 goals scored · 16 conceded

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