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Compare AEK Athens vs OFI

AEK Athens vs OFI Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare AEK Athens vs OFI: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

AEK Athens AEK Athens Home Team
OFI OFI Away Team
AEK Athens
57.6
W D D W D W W L W W

Last 10 Matches

OFI
38.9
L W L L L W D W L D

Performance Radar

AEK Athens
OFI

Categories Won

10

AEK Athens

4

Draw

1

OFI

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 3D, 1L

30%

3W, 2D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.8

8 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+8

+8

-6

-6

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Zine (3 goals)
T. Fountas (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
80%

4W / 5 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

17%

1W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
42.4

League Difficulty: 59.3, Opponent Quality: 53.3

51.7

League Difficulty: 54.9, Opponent Quality: 49.6

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.59

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.01

1.22

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.02

Adjusted Power Rating
57.6

Attack: 49.3, Defense: 67.8, Form: 55.4

38.9

Attack: 40.7, Defense: 40.7, Form: 30.5

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

2
2

16-30'

2

31-45'

4
1

46-60'

1
4

61-75'

4
2

76-90+'

1
AEK Athens
OFI
AEK Athens

Power Rating Breakdown

57.6

Overall

Attack 49.3
Defense 67.8
Form 55.4
Consistency 61.3
OFI

Power Rating Breakdown

38.9

Overall

Attack 40.7
Defense 40.7
Form 30.5
Consistency 49.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

59.3 vs 54.9

Opponent Quality

53.3 vs 49.6

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
AEK Athens logo AEK Athens
W
Groningen (44%)
D
Olympiakos (45%)
D
PAOK (58%)
W
Panathinaikos (44%)
D
Panathinaikos (49%)
W
PAOK (53%)
W
Rayo (67%)
L
Rayo (72%)
OFI logo OFI
L
Go Ahead (52%)
W
Volos (36%)
L
Levadiakos (51%)
L
Aris (63%)
L
Aris (58%)
W
Levadiakos (46%)
D
Volos (41%)
W
Aris (63%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Groningen A
2 - 1 W
44%
Olympiakos H
1 - 1 D
45%
PAOK A
1 - 1 D
58%
Panathinaikos H
2 - 1 W
44%
Panathinaikos A
0 - 0 D
49%
PAOK H
3 - 0 W
53%
Rayo H
3 - 1 W
67%
Rayo A
0 - 3 L
72%
Olympiakos A
1 - 0 W
50%
Kifisia H
3 - 0 W
51%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Go Ahead A
0 - 4 L
52%
Volos H
3 - 1 W
36%
Levadiakos A
2 - 3 L
51%
Aris A
1 - 3 L
63%
Aris H
0 - 2 L
58%
Levadiakos H
2 - 0 W
46%
Volos A
1 - 1 D
41%
Aris A
2 - 0 W
63%
Olympiakos H
0 - 3 L
45%
Volos A
1 - 1 D
41%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 42.4 vs 51.7), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

AEK Athens holds the attacking edge with 1.6 goals per match versus OFI's 1.2, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

AEK Athens holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 0.8 goals per game and recording 4 clean sheets, compared to OFI's leaky backline that surrenders 1.8 goals per match.

OFI has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

AEK Athens has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.7 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: AEK Athens has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. AEK Athens is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while OFI shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 18.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for AEK Athens. In practical terms, AEK Athens would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

AEK Athens emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (57.6 vs 38.9) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

AEK Athens

AEK Athens

VS
OFI

OFI

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

AEK Athens

6W 3D 1L · 16 goals scored · 8 conceded

OFI

3W 2D 5L · 12 goals scored · 18 conceded

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