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Compare Telford vs Chester

Telford vs Chester Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Telford vs Chester: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Telford Telford Home Team
Chester Chester Away Team
Telford
36.1
W L L D W L L D L W

Last 10 Matches

Chester
48.6
W L L L D W W W W W

Performance Radar

Telford
Chester

Categories Won

4

Telford

3

Draw

8

Chester

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 2D, 5L

60%

6W, 1D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

0.7

7 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-4

-4

+3

+3

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
R. Walker (2 goals)
T. Davies (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
29%

2W / 7 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

1W / 3 matches

67%

4W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
37.8

League Difficulty: 33.0, Opponent Quality: 41.0

39.2

League Difficulty: 34.5, Opponent Quality: 42.3

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.92

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: +0.28

0.74

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: +0.26

Adjusted Power Rating
36.1

Attack: 35.1, Defense: 41.0, Form: 26.3

48.6

Attack: 29.7, Defense: 68.4, Form: 53.5

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

1
2

16-30'

3
1

31-45'

1
3

46-60'

1

61-75'

1
2

76-90+'

3
Telford
Chester
Telford

Power Rating Breakdown

36.1

Overall

Attack 35.1
Defense 41.0
Form 26.3
Consistency 49.3
Chester

Power Rating Breakdown

48.6

Overall

Attack 29.7
Defense 68.4
Form 53.5
Consistency 43.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

33.0 vs 34.5

Opponent Quality

41.0 vs 42.3

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Telford logo Telford
W
Walsall (33%)
L
Crewe (41%)
L
Southport (48%)
D
Darlington (25%)
W
Peterborough S (30%)
L
Kidderminster (67%)
L
Chester (51%)
D
Bedford (44%)
Chester logo Chester
W
Hyde Utd (41%)
L
Stoke (34%)
L
Fleetwood (55%)
L
Macclesfield (44%)
D
King's Lynn (35%)
W
Oxford City (58%)
W
Fylde (46%)
W
Macclesfield (44%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Walsall H
1 - 0 W
33%
Crewe H
0 - 3 L
41%
Southport A
0 - 2 L
48%
Darlington H
1 - 1 D
25%
Peterborough S A
3 - 2 W
30%
Kidderminster H
1 - 2 L
67%
Chester A
1 - 2 L
51%
Bedford H
2 - 2 D
44%
Marine H
0 - 2 L
32%
Macclesfield H
3 - 0 W
39%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Hyde Utd A
1 - 0 W
41%
Stoke H
0 - 1 L
34%
Fleetwood A
0 - 2 L
55%
Macclesfield A
1 - 2 L
44%
King's Lynn H
0 - 0 D
35%
Oxford City A
2 - 1 W
58%
Fylde H
1 - 0 W
46%
Macclesfield A
2 - 0 W
44%
Telford H
2 - 1 W
34%
Curzon Ashton A
1 - 0 W
32%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 37.8 vs 39.2), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Telford averaging 1.2 and Chester averaging 1.0 goals per match.

Defensively, Chester is far superior, conceding just 0.7 goals per match with 5 clean sheets, while Telford leaks 1.6 goals per match.

Telford has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Chester has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Chester is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.2 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

📈 Form Momentum: Chester has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Chester is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Telford shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 12.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 81% win probability for Chester. In practical terms, Chester would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While Chester holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 12.5-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

In their recent National League N / S match (2026-04-03), Chester prevailed 2-1 against Telford. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Chester secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Telford will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Chester will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Telford

Telford

VS
Chester

Chester

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Telford

3W 2D 5L · 12 goals scored · 16 conceded

Chester

6W 1D 3L · 10 goals scored · 7 conceded

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