Airdrieonians vs Raith Rovers Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Airdrieonians vs Raith Rovers: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Airdrieonians
Home Team
Raith Rovers
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Airdrieonians
Draw
Raith Rovers
Statistical Comparison
2W, 3D, 5L
5W, 2D, 3L
13 / 10 matches
14 / 10 matches
17 / 10 matches
11 / 10 matches
-4
+3
1 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
2W / 6 matches
4W / 5 matches
0W / 4 matches
1W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 47.8, Opponent Quality: 46.7
League Difficulty: 43.5, Opponent Quality: 49.3
0W / 0 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 1.3 | Diff: +0.21
Actual: 1.4 | Diff: +0.3
Attack: 42.1, Defense: 42.1, Form: 19.4
Attack: 45.3, Defense: 61.4, Form: 48.5
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Airdrieonians
Raith Rovers
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.
The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 47.1 vs 47.0), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.
The attacking output of Airdrieonians and Raith Rovers is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 1.3 and 1.4 goals per game respectively.
Defensively, Raith Rovers holds the advantage — allowing just 1.1 goals per game against Airdrieonians's 1.7.
Airdrieonians has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Raith Rovers has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Raith Rovers has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.
❄️ Form Momentum: Airdrieonians is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
📈 Form Momentum: Raith Rovers has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Raith Rovers is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Airdrieonians shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Raith Rovers faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Airdrieonians can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 12.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 80% win probability for Raith Rovers. In practical terms, Raith Rovers would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
The numbers lean toward Raith Rovers, with a 12.1-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Airdrieonians
Raith Rovers
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Airdrieonians
2W 3D 5L · 13 goals scored · 17 conceded
Raith Rovers
5W 2D 3L · 14 goals scored · 11 conceded
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