Ajax vs NEC Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Ajax vs NEC: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Ajax
Home Team
NEC
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Ajax
Draw
NEC
Statistical Comparison
5W, 4D, 1L
5W, 4D, 1L
16 / 10 matches
23 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
10 / 10 matches
+8
+13
4 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
3W / 7 matches
3W / 6 matches
2W / 3 matches
2W / 4 matches
League Difficulty: 69.3, Opponent Quality: 56.3
League Difficulty: 76.5, Opponent Quality: 62.3
0W / 1 matches
1W / 2 matches
Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.17
Actual: 2.3 | Diff: -0.3
Attack: 51.9, Defense: 71.4, Form: 48.7
Attack: 88.1, Defense: 76.6, Form: 57.5
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Ajax
NEC
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.
NEC has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 64.9 against considerably stronger competition than Ajax (SoS: 47.4). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.
NEC holds the attacking edge with 2.3 goals per match versus Ajax's 1.6, though the gap isn't insurmountable.
Both defenses are comparable, with Ajax conceding 0.8 and NEC conceding 1.0 per match.
Ajax is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.
Statistical modeling projects 2.9 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.
📈 Form Momentum: Ajax has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📈 Form Momentum: NEC has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
💡 Why This Matters: The 14.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for NEC. In practical terms, NEC would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
NEC has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 14.8-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Ajax
NEC
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Ajax
5W 4D 1L · 16 goals scored · 8 conceded
NEC
5W 4D 1L · 23 goals scored · 10 conceded
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