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Compare Ajax vs Telstar

Ajax vs Telstar Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Ajax vs Telstar: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Ajax Ajax Home Team
Telstar Telstar Away Team
Ajax
57.1
W W W D D W D L D W

Last 10 Matches

Telstar
64.4
W W D W L L W L W W

Performance Radar

Ajax
Telstar

Categories Won

4

Ajax

2

Draw

9

Telstar

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 4D, 1L

60%

6W, 1D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

2.1

21 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.8

8 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+8

+8

+7

+7

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
40%

4 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
D. Klaassen (3 goals)
S. van Duijn (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 14
Home Win Rate
43%

3W / 7 matches

80%

4W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
67%

2W / 3 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
47.1

League Difficulty: 69.3, Opponent Quality: 55.4

60.7

League Difficulty: 80.0, Opponent Quality: 58.3

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.76

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.16

2.37

Actual: 2.1 | Diff: -0.27

Adjusted Power Rating
57.1

Attack: 51.8, Defense: 71.2, Form: 48.6

64.4

Attack: 77.5, Defense: 59.0, Form: 66.4

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

2
2

16-30'

3

31-45'

4
2

46-60'

3
1

61-75'

6
5

76-90+'

6
Ajax
Telstar
Ajax

Power Rating Breakdown

57.1

Overall

Attack 51.8
Defense 71.2
Form 48.6
Consistency 61.3
Telstar

Power Rating Breakdown

64.4

Overall

Attack 77.5
Defense 59.0
Form 66.4
Consistency 43.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

69.3 vs 80.0

Opponent Quality

55.4 vs 58.3

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 33%
Ajax logo Ajax
W
Burnley (24%)
W
Vojvodina (67%)
W
Olympiakos (41%)
D
Bochum (45%)
D
Utrecht (66%)
W
Groningen (53%)
D
Heerenveen (68%)
L
Utrecht (66%)
Telstar logo Telstar
W
Volendam (62%)
W
Heracles (36%)
D
NEC (78%)
W
Sparta (44%)
L
Utrecht (71%)
L
Groningen (53%)
W
PSV (70%)
L
Heerenveen (68%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Burnley H
2 - 1 W
24%
Vojvodina A
4 - 1 W
67%
Olympiakos H
1 - 0 W
41%
Bochum H
1 - 1 D
45%
Utrecht H
1 - 1 D
66%
Groningen H
2 - 0 W
53%
Heerenveen A
0 - 0 D
68%
Utrecht H
1 - 2 L
66%
PSV H
2 - 2 D
70%
NAC A
2 - 0 W
54%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Volendam A
2 - 1 W
62%
Heracles H
3 - 0 W
36%
NEC A
1 - 1 D
78%
Sparta H
4 - 1 W
44%
Utrecht A
1 - 4 L
71%
Groningen H
0 - 2 L
53%
PSV H
3 - 1 W
70%
Heerenveen A
0 - 3 L
68%
Fortuna A
4 - 1 W
51%
NAC H
3 - 0 W
50%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

Context matters here: Telstar's schedule strength (SoS: 60.7) has been notably more demanding than Ajax's (SoS: 47.1), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

Telstar holds the attacking edge with 2.1 goals per match versus Ajax's 1.6, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Defensively, Ajax holds the advantage — allowing just 0.8 goals per game against Telstar's 1.4.

Telstar has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Telstar has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Ajax is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 3.0 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Ajax has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Telstar has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Telstar faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.4 goals per match. If Ajax can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 7.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 68% win probability for Telstar. In practical terms, Telstar would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Telstar, with a 7.3-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Ajax

Ajax

VS
Telstar

Telstar

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Ajax

5W 4D 1L · 16 goals scored · 8 conceded

Telstar

6W 1D 3L · 21 goals scored · 14 conceded

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