Ettifaq vs Najma Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 48.8 vs 39.4), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Ettifaq leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.8 goals per game compared to Najma's 1.0 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Ettifaq has the defensive edge, conceding 1.6 per match compared to Najma's 2.2.

Ettifaq has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.3 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

❄️ Form Momentum: Najma is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Ettifaq faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.6 goals per match. If Najma can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 17.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Ettifaq. In practical terms, Ettifaq would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Ettifaq emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (46.2 vs 29.1) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

These two teams drew 0-0 in the Saudi Pro League (2026-05-04). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.