Hilal vs Damac Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 47.2 vs 39.3), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Hilal leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.2 goals per game compared to Damac's 1.4 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Defensively, Hilal is far superior, conceding just 0.5 goals per match with 6 clean sheets, while Damac leaks 1.4 goals per match.

Hilal has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Hilal has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Hilal is a strong road performer with a 80% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 2.8 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

🔥 Form Momentum: Hilal is in scorching form, winning 8 of their last 10 matches with 22 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Hilal is on the rise with 8W in last 10, while Damac shows signs of decline with 4W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 36.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Hilal. In practical terms, Hilal would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Our opponent-adjusted metrics point overwhelmingly in one direction: Hilal holds a commanding advantage here. The power rating gap — 77.1 against 41.1 — reinforces what the underlying numbers already suggest, making Hilal a strong and justified favorite to win decisively.

In their recent Saudi Pro League match (2026-04-28), Hilal prevailed 1-0 against Damac. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Hilal secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Damac will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Hilal will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.