Najma vs Hazem Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Context matters here: Hazem's schedule strength (SoS: 51.0) has been notably more demanding than Najma's (SoS: 39.4), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

The attacking output of Najma and Hazem is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 1.0 and 1.2 goals per game respectively.

Hazem holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 1.3 goals per game and recording 2 clean sheets, compared to Najma's leaky backline that surrenders 2.2 goals per match.

Hazem has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Hazem has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

❄️ Form Momentum: Najma is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Hazem faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Najma can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 16.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Hazem. In practical terms, Hazem would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Hazem emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (45.3 vs 29.1) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

These two teams drew 2-2 in the Saudi Pro League (2026-05-09). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.