Okhdood vs Ahli Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 38.0 vs 44.8), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Ahli possess a formidable attacking unit, with I. Toney accounting for 5 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 2.0 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

Ahli's backline outperforms Okhdood's, with 1.6 goals conceded per match versus 2.0.

Ahli has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Ahli has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

❄️ Form Momentum: Okhdood is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Ahli has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Ahli is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Okhdood shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Ahli faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.6 goals per match. If Okhdood can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 24.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Ahli. In practical terms, Ahli would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Ahli holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 50.1 against 25.7 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

In their recent Saudi Pro League match (2026-05-03), Ahli prevailed 4-0 against Okhdood. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Ahli secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 4-0 scoreline was emphatic — Ahli completely dominated Okhdood in that encounter, raising serious questions about Okhdood's ability to compete at this level. Okhdood will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Ahli will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.