Alanyaspor vs Fatih Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

Fatih has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 73.8) compared to Alanyaspor (SoS: 47.4). This means Fatih's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Alanyaspor holds the attacking edge with 1.7 goals per match versus Fatih's 1.0, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Defensively, Fatih holds the advantage — allowing just 0.9 goals per game against Alanyaspor's 1.3.

Fatih has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.5 total goals. Going Under 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Alanyaspor is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Fatih has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Fatih is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Alanyaspor shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Fatih faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Alanyaspor can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 13.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 83% win probability for Fatih. In practical terms, Fatih would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While Fatih holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 13.2-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

In the Turkish Super Lig (2026-05-16), Fatih beat Alanyaspor 2-1. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Fatih secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Alanyaspor will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Fatih will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.