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Compare Alanyaspor vs Kayseri

Alanyaspor vs Kayseri Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Alanyaspor vs Kayseri: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Alanyaspor Alanyaspor Home Team
Kayseri Kayseri Away Team
Alanyaspor
46.3
D L W D L L D D W D

Last 10 Matches

Kayseri
34.5
L W L D W L L L W L

Performance Radar

Alanyaspor
Kayseri

Categories Won

8

Alanyaspor

4

Draw

3

Kayseri

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
20%

2W, 5D, 3L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.7

17 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+4

+4

-9

-9

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
İ. Kaya (4 goals)
L. Bénes (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 1 / 2nd Half: 7
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

50%

3W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
47.4

League Difficulty: 69.3, Opponent Quality: 56.1

49.0

League Difficulty: 69.3, Opponent Quality: 60.8

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.71

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.01

0.97

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.17

Adjusted Power Rating
46.3

Attack: 55.2, Defense: 55.2, Form: 19.5

34.5

Attack: 26.4, Defense: 42.9, Form: 29.7

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

1
2

16-30'

4

31-45'

46-60'

3
3

61-75'

2
6

76-90+'

2
Alanyaspor
Kayseri
Alanyaspor

Power Rating Breakdown

46.3

Overall

Attack 55.2
Defense 55.2
Form 19.5
Consistency 67.3
Kayseri

Power Rating Breakdown

34.5

Overall

Attack 26.4
Defense 42.9
Form 29.7
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

69.3 vs 69.3

Opponent Quality

56.1 vs 60.8

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Alanyaspor logo Alanyaspor
D
Tikvesh (45%)
L
Fatih (65%)
W
Kayseri (47%)
D
Antalyaspor (50%)
L
Samsunspor (61%)
L
Kasımpaşa (68%)
D
Trabzonspor (57%)
D
Gaziantep (51%)
Kayseri logo Kayseri
L
Kasımpaşa (52%)
W
Konyaspor (53%)
L
Alanyaspor (62%)
D
Eyüp (65%)
W
Rize (58%)
L
Gaziantep (51%)
L
Fenerbahçe (73%)
L
Kasımpaşa (68%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Tikvesh H
2 - 2 D
45%
Fatih A
1 - 2 L
65%
Kayseri H
3 - 1 W
47%
Antalyaspor A
0 - 0 D
50%
Samsunspor H
2 - 3 L
61%
Kasımpaşa A
0 - 1 L
68%
Trabzonspor H
1 - 1 D
57%
Gaziantep A
1 - 1 D
51%
Kocaelispor H
5 - 0 W
46%
Göztepe A
2 - 2 D
71%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Kasımpaşa H
0 - 1 L
52%
Konyaspor H
2 - 1 W
53%
Alanyaspor A
1 - 3 L
62%
Eyüp H
1 - 1 D
65%
Rize H
2 - 0 W
58%
Gaziantep A
0 - 3 L
51%
Fenerbahçe H
0 - 4 L
73%
Kasımpaşa A
0 - 2 L
68%
Fatih H
1 - 0 W
60%
Samsunspor A
1 - 2 L
66%

AI Analysis

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (47.4 vs 49.0), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Alanyaspor holds the attacking edge with 1.7 goals per match versus Kayseri's 0.8, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Alanyaspor has the defensive edge, conceding 1.3 per match compared to Kayseri's 1.7.

Statistical modeling projects 2.8 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Alanyaspor is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

💡 Why This Matters: The 11.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 80% win probability for Alanyaspor. In practical terms, Alanyaspor would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Alanyaspor, with a 11.8-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

In the Turkish Super Lig (2026-05-09), Alanyaspor beat Kayseri 3-1. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Alanyaspor secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Kayseri will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Alanyaspor will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Alanyaspor

Alanyaspor

VS
Kayseri

Kayseri

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Alanyaspor

2W 5D 3L · 17 goals scored · 13 conceded

Kayseri

3W 1D 6L · 8 goals scored · 17 conceded

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