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Compare Alavés vs Celta Vigo

Alavés vs Celta Vigo Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Alavés vs Celta Vigo: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Alavés Alavés Home Team
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo Away Team
Alavés
54.3
L W W D L W L D D W

Last 10 Matches

Celta Vigo
39.7
W D L W W L L L L L

Performance Radar

Alavés
Celta Vigo

Categories Won

11

Alavés

3

Draw

1

Celta Vigo

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 3D, 3L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
0

0

-7

-7

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
80%

8 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Toni Martínez (9 goals)
Borja Iglesias (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 10
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
66.8

League Difficulty: 93.0, Opponent Quality: 66.6

59.8

League Difficulty: 91.4, Opponent Quality: 66.4

Elite Opponent Record
25%

1W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.98

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.18

1.38

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: -0.38

Adjusted Power Rating
54.3

Attack: 70.1, Defense: 46.7, Form: 46.7

39.7

Attack: 36.6, Defense: 47.6, Form: 32.9

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

3
2

16-30'

1
1

31-45'

5

46-60'

2
3

61-75'

2
4

76-90+'

2
Alavés
Celta Vigo
Alavés

Power Rating Breakdown

54.3

Overall

Attack 70.1
Defense 46.7
Form 46.7
Consistency 50.5
Celta Vigo

Power Rating Breakdown

39.7

Overall

Attack 36.6
Defense 47.6
Form 32.9
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

93.0 vs 91.4

Opponent Quality

66.6 vs 66.4

Elite Opponent Record

25% vs 0%
Alavés logo Alavés
L
Rayo (77%)
W
Oviedo (59%)
W
Barcelona (75%)
D
Elche (74%)
L
Athletic (57%)
W
Mallorca (66%)
L
Real Madrid (75%)
D
Real Sociedad (66%)
Celta Vigo logo Celta Vigo
W
Sevilla (59%)
D
Athletic (62%)
L
Levante (71%)
W
Atlético (69%)
W
Elche (69%)
L
Villarreal (77%)
L
Barcelona (80%)
L
Freiburg (59%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Rayo H
1 - 2 L
77%
Oviedo A
1 - 0 W
59%
Barcelona H
1 - 0 W
75%
Elche A
1 - 1 D
74%
Athletic H
2 - 4 L
57%
Mallorca H
2 - 1 W
66%
Real Madrid A
1 - 2 L
75%
Real Sociedad A
3 - 3 D
66%
Osasuna H
2 - 2 D
56%
Celta Vigo A
4 - 3 W
61%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Sevilla H
1 - 0 W
59%
Athletic A
1 - 1 D
62%
Levante H
2 - 3 L
71%
Atlético A
1 - 0 W
69%
Elche H
3 - 1 W
69%
Villarreal A
1 - 2 L
77%
Barcelona A
0 - 1 L
80%
Freiburg H
1 - 3 L
59%
Oviedo H
0 - 3 L
54%
Freiburg A
0 - 3 L
64%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 66.8 vs 59.8), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Alavés holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus Celta Vigo's 1.0, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Alavés conceding 1.8 and Celta Vigo conceding 1.7 per match.

Alavés has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Celta Vigo has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.1 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Alavés has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 14.6 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

In the Spanish La Liga (2026-03-22), Alavés beat Celta Vigo 3-4. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Notably, Alavés achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Celta Vigo shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 3-4 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Celta Vigo will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Alavés will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Alavés

Alavés

VS
Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Alavés

4W 3D 3L · 18 goals scored · 18 conceded

Celta Vigo

3W 1D 6L · 10 goals scored · 17 conceded

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