Alavés vs Villarreal Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 61.1 vs 61.3), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Alavés averaging 1.6 and Villarreal averaging 1.4 goals per match.

Defensively, Villarreal is far superior, conceding just 1.3 goals per match with 1 clean sheets, while Alavés leaks 2.1 per match.

Alavés has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Villarreal has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

The home advantage factor favors Villarreal, who boasts a 100% home win rate. Playing in front of their fans could be the decisive factor.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Villarreal has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 13.9 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

These two teams drew 1-1 in the Spanish La Liga (2026-03-13). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.