Albania vs Wales Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Wales has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 54.5 against considerably stronger competition than Albania (SoS: 39.5). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

Wales leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.4 goals per game compared to Albania's 1.5 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Defensively, Wales holds the advantage — allowing just 1.5 goals per game against Albania's 2.0.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.7 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: Wales has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Wales faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.5 goals per match. If Albania can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 25.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Wales. In practical terms, Wales would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Wales in this contest. Their superior power rating of 61.8, compared to 36.3 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the Women's European World Cup Qualifiers (2026-04-18): Wales defeated Albania 0-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Wales's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Albania. Notably, Wales achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Albania shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Albania will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Wales will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams met recently in the Women's European World Cup Qualifiers (2026-04-14): Wales defeated Albania 4-0. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Wales's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Albania. Wales secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 4-0 scoreline was emphatic — Wales completely dominated Albania in that encounter, raising serious questions about Albania's ability to compete at this level. Albania will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Wales will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.