Albania vs England Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

England has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 75.0) compared to Albania (SoS: 53.5). This means England's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

England's attack is on another level, averaging 2.4 goals per match with J. Bellingham leading the charge (7 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

Defensively, Albania and England are evenly matched, allowing 0.9 and 1.2 goals per game respectively.

England has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 3 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

England is a strong road performer with a 100% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 2.7 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Albania has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

🔥 Form Momentum: England is in scorching form, winning 8 of their last 10 matches with 24 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. England is on the rise with 8W in last 10, while Albania shows signs of decline with 5W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 41.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for England. In practical terms, England would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Accounting for opponent quality throughout our evaluation, England emerges as the heavy favorite by every measurable indicator. A power rating of 89.0 compared to 47.8, combined with across-the-board statistical superiority, projects England as the likely winner and by a comfortable margin.

These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - European (2025-11-16): England defeated Albania 0-2. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates England's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Albania. Notably, England achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Albania shows genuine quality and mental strength. Albania will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. England will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.