Albania vs Serbia Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 53.5 vs 56.9), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Albania (0.9 goals per match) and Serbia (0.9 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.

Albania holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 0.9 goals per game and recording 4 clean sheets, compared to Serbia's leaky backline that surrenders 2.2 goals per match.

Serbia has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Albania is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

📈 Form Momentum: Albania has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 12.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 82% win probability for Albania. In practical terms, Albania would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While Albania holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 12.9-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - European (2025-10-11): Albania defeated Serbia 0-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Albania's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Serbia. Notably, Albania achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Serbia shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Serbia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Albania will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.