Algeria vs Senegal Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 64.9 vs 56.3), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Senegal holds the attacking edge with 1.6 goals per match versus Algeria's 1.2, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Defensively, Algeria holds the advantage — allowing just 1.1 goals per game against Senegal's 1.6.

Algeria has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

📈 Form Momentum: Algeria has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Senegal is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 5 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Algeria is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Senegal shows signs of decline with 2W in last 5.

💡 Why This Matters: The 7.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 68% win probability for Algeria. In practical terms, Algeria would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Algeria, with a 7.2-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

In their recent Internationals Women match (2025-07-01), Senegal prevailed 0-3 against Algeria. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Senegal achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Algeria shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 0-3 scoreline was emphatic — Senegal completely dominated Algeria in that encounter, raising serious questions about Algeria's ability to compete at this level. Algeria will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Senegal will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.