Algeria vs Uganda Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Context matters here: Algeria's schedule strength (SoS: 59.7) has been notably more demanding than Uganda's (SoS: 41.7), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

Algeria leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.8 goals per game compared to Uganda's 1.5 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Algeria's backline outperforms Uganda's, with 1.1 goals conceded per match versus 1.5.

Algeria has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Algeria is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 3.0 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Algeria has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Uganda has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 15.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Algeria. In practical terms, Algeria would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Algeria in this contest. Their superior power rating of 60.4, compared to 44.8 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - African (2025-10-14): Algeria defeated Uganda 2-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Algeria's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Uganda. Algeria secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Uganda will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Algeria will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.