Alloa Athletic vs Inverness Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Alloa Athletic vs Inverness: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Alloa Athletic
Home Team
Inverness
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Alloa Athletic
Draw
Inverness
Statistical Comparison
3W, 2D, 5L
6W, 3D, 1L
10 / 10 matches
13 / 10 matches
18 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
-8
+5
2 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
2 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
1W / 5 matches
3W / 4 matches
2W / 5 matches
3W / 6 matches
League Difficulty: 51.0, Opponent Quality: 49.8
League Difficulty: 40.0, Opponent Quality: 49.4
0W / 0 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 1.0 | Diff: -0.01
Actual: 1.3 | Diff: +0.08
Attack: 33.4, Defense: 40.1, Form: 30.1
Attack: 41.4, Defense: 70.1, Form: 57.4
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Alloa Athletic
Inverness
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.
The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 50.3 vs 45.6), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.
Inverness holds the attacking edge with 1.3 goals per match versus Alloa Athletic's 1.0, though the gap isn't insurmountable.
The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Inverness — 0.8 goals conceded per game and 5 clean sheets put them well ahead of Alloa Athletic, who give up 1.8 goals per match at the other end.
Alloa Athletic has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Inverness has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Inverness has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.
Statistical modeling projects 2.4 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.
📈 Form Momentum: Inverness has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Inverness is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Alloa Athletic shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.
💡 Why This Matters: The 19.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Inverness. In practical terms, Inverness would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Inverness emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (56.4 vs 36.5) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Alloa Athletic
Inverness
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Alloa Athletic
3W 2D 5L · 10 goals scored · 18 conceded
Inverness
6W 3D 1L · 13 goals scored · 8 conceded
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