Almere vs Den Bosch Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (46.2 vs 48.2), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Few sides can match Almere in front of goal. Their 1.9 average per fixture tells the story, with M. Dors driving that output personally responsible for 3 goals this campaign.

Defensively, Almere holds the advantage — allowing just 1.3 goals per game against Den Bosch's 2.0.

Almere has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Den Bosch has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Almere has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Statistical modeling projects 3.0 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Almere has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.86 points per game over their last 7 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Den Bosch is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 3 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Almere is on the rise with 4W in last 7, while Den Bosch shows signs of decline with 0W in last 3.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Almere faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Den Bosch can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 26.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Almere. In practical terms, Almere would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Almere emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (55.1 vs 29.1) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Dutch Play-offs 1/2 match (2026-05-02), Almere prevailed 3-0 against Den Bosch. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Almere secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 3-0 scoreline was emphatic — Almere completely dominated Den Bosch in that encounter, raising serious questions about Den Bosch's ability to compete at this level. Den Bosch will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Almere will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Dutch Play-offs 1/2 match (2026-04-29), Almere prevailed 2-3 against Den Bosch. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Almere achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Den Bosch shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 2-3 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Den Bosch will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Almere will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.