Almere vs Volendam Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

Context matters here: Volendam's schedule strength (SoS: 58.8) has been notably more demanding than Almere's (SoS: 46.2), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

Offensively, Almere outperforms Volendam with 1.9 goals per match to 1.5, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with Almere giving up 1.3 and Volendam giving up 1.4 per fixture.

Almere has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Volendam has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Almere has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.0 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Almere has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.86 points per game over their last 7 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Almere faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Volendam can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 7.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 68% win probability for Almere. In practical terms, Almere would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

Almere has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 7.1-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

In their recent Club Friendlies match (2026-07-15), Almere prevailed 2-1 against Volendam. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Almere secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Volendam will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Almere will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.