Almere vs Willem II Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 46.2 vs 44.4), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Almere holds the attacking edge with 1.9 goals per match versus Willem II's 1.3, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Willem II has the defensive edge, conceding 0.6 per match compared to Almere's 1.3.

Almere has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Willem II has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Almere has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Willem II is a strong road performer with a 100% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.5 total goals. Going Under 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Almere has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.86 points per game over their last 7 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Willem II has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.29 points per game over their last 7 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 5.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 63% win probability for Willem II. In practical terms, Willem II would win 6 out of 10 such matchups.

Willem II has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 5.1-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Dutch Play-offs 1/2 match (2026-05-16), Willem II prevailed 2-0 against Almere. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Willem II secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Almere will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Willem II will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Dutch Play-offs 1/2 match (2026-05-13), Willem II prevailed 0-1 against Almere. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Willem II achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Almere shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Almere will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Willem II will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.