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Compare Alverca vs Thun

Alverca vs Thun Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Alverca vs Thun: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Alverca Alverca Home Team
Thun Thun Away Team
Alverca
43.4
L D L W L W W L D D

Last 10 Matches

Thun
35.7
D L L L L W L L W W

Performance Radar

Alverca
Thun

Categories Won

6

Alverca

3

Draw

6

Thun

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 3D, 4L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

2.1

21 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-2

-2

-5

-5

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Figueiredo (3 goals)
E. Rastoder (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 9
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

17%

1W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
53.6

League Difficulty: 79.0, Opponent Quality: 63.0

38.6

League Difficulty: 51.0, Opponent Quality: 52.1

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.27

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: -0.17

1.48

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.12

Adjusted Power Rating
43.4

Attack: 38.0, Defense: 58.7, Form: 31.1

35.7

Attack: 47.3, Defense: 26.6, Form: 26.6

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

2
1

16-30'

1

31-45'

4
2

46-60'

3
2

61-75'

3
3

76-90+'

3
Alverca
Thun
Alverca

Power Rating Breakdown

43.4

Overall

Attack 38.0
Defense 58.7
Form 31.1
Consistency 53.2
Thun

Power Rating Breakdown

35.7

Overall

Attack 47.3
Defense 26.6
Form 26.6
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

79.0 vs 51.0

Opponent Quality

63.0 vs 52.1

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Alverca logo Alverca
L
Famalicão (76%)
D
Estoril (47%)
L
Porto (74%)
W
Arouca (62%)
L
Nacional (62%)
W
Casa Pia (55%)
W
Rio Ave (66%)
L
Sporting (70%)
Thun logo Thun
D
St.Gallen (64%)
L
Young Boys (53%)
L
Sion (73%)
L
Basel (44%)
L
Lugano (58%)
W
Basel (39%)
L
Lugano (58%)
L
Zürich (38%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Famalicão A
0 - 1 L
76%
Estoril H
1 - 1 D
47%
Porto A
0 - 1 L
74%
Arouca H
2 - 1 W
62%
Nacional A
0 - 1 L
62%
Casa Pia H
3 - 1 W
55%
Rio Ave A
2 - 1 W
66%
Sporting H
1 - 4 L
70%
Gil Vicente A
2 - 2 D
59%
AVS H
0 - 0 D
59%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
St.Gallen A
1 - 1 D
64%
Young Boys H
3 - 8 L
53%
Sion A
0 - 2 L
73%
Basel A
1 - 3 L
44%
Lugano H
0 - 1 L
58%
Basel H
3 - 1 W
39%
Lugano A
0 - 1 L
58%
Zürich A
1 - 2 L
38%
GC Zürich H
5 - 1 W
40%
Young Boys A
2 - 1 W
54%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Alverca has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 53.6) compared to Thun (SoS: 38.6). This means Alverca's statistics carry more weight, as they were achieved against higher-caliber opponents.

Thun holds the attacking edge with 1.6 goals per match versus Alverca's 1.1, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Defensively, Alverca is far superior, conceding just 1.3 goals per match with 1 clean sheets, while Thun leaks 2.1 per match.

Alverca has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Alverca has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 7.7 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Alverca

Alverca

VS
Thun

Thun

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Alverca

3W 3D 4L · 11 goals scored · 13 conceded

Thun

3W 1D 6L · 16 goals scored · 21 conceded

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