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Compare Ararat-Armenia vs Celje

Ararat-Armenia vs Celje Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Ararat-Armenia vs Celje: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia Home Team
Celje Celje Away Team
Ararat-Armenia
57.8
D L W L W L W

Last 10 Matches

Celje
56.4
D W L D D W L W W D

Performance Radar

Ararat-Armenia
Celje

Categories Won

6

Ararat-Armenia

2

Draw

7

Celje

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
43%

3W, 1D, 3L

40%

4W, 4D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

10 / 7 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

9 / 7 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+1

+1

+1

+1

Clean Sheet
29%

2 / 7 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
43%

3 / 7 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
57%

4 / 7 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Sandro Lima (3 goals)
M. Kvesić (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 11 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
100%

3W / 3 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 4 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
75.6

League Difficulty: 95.3, Opponent Quality: 76.4

67.8

League Difficulty: 87.5, Opponent Quality: 73.0

Elite Opponent Record
43%

3W / 7 matches

29%

2W / 7 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.89

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.46

1.98

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.28

Adjusted Power Rating
57.8

Attack: 58.6, Defense: 71.2, Form: 54.0

56.4

Attack: 66.8, Defense: 55.0, Form: 47.1

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

1
1

16-30'

4
1

31-45'

6
2

46-60'

1
4

61-75'

1
2

76-90+'

4
Ararat-Armenia
Celje
Ararat-Armenia

Power Rating Breakdown

57.8

Overall

Attack 58.6
Defense 71.2
Form 54.0
Consistency 41.2
Celje

Power Rating Breakdown

56.4

Overall

Attack 66.8
Defense 55.0
Form 47.1
Consistency 56.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

95.3 vs 87.5

Opponent Quality

76.4 vs 73.0

Elite Opponent Record

43% vs 29%
Ararat-Armenia logo Ararat-Armenia
D
U Craiova (70%)
L
Celje (76%)
W
Celje (71%)
L
Shamrock (77%)
W
Shamrock (72%)
L
Riga (86%)
W
Riga (83%)
Celje logo Celje
D
Slovan (86%)
W
Ararat-Armenia (76%)
L
Ararat-Armenia (80%)
D
Egnatia (81%)
D
Egnatia (85%)
W
AEK Athens (76%)
L
AEK Athens (71%)
W
Drita (59%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
U Craiova A
1 - 1 D
70%
Celje A
0 - 2 L
76%
Celje H
2 - 1 W
71%
Shamrock A
1 - 2 L
77%
Shamrock H
2 - 0 W
72%
Riga A
2 - 3 L
86%
Riga H
2 - 0 W
83%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Slovan A
1 - 1 D
86%
Ararat-Armenia H
2 - 0 W
76%
Ararat-Armenia A
1 - 2 L
80%
Egnatia H
2 - 2 D
81%
Egnatia A
3 - 3 D
85%
AEK Athens A
2 - 0 W
76%
AEK Athens H
0 - 4 L
71%
Drita H
3 - 2 W
59%
Drita A
3 - 2 W
64%
Shelbourne H
0 - 0 D
52%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but when we adjust for opponent quality, the picture becomes even more intriguing. Both teams have earned their statistics against comparable opposition.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (75.6 vs 67.8), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Celje holds the attacking edge with 1.7 goals per match versus Ararat-Armenia's 1.4, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Ararat-Armenia has the defensive edge, conceding 1.3 per match compared to Celje's 1.6.

Ararat-Armenia has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 3 of 7 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Celje has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 7 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Ararat-Armenia has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.0 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Celje has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: In matches this evenly balanced, the deciding factor often comes down to set pieces and individual errors. Both teams should be wary of complacency in a match where neither side has a clear edge.

💡 Why This Matters: Ararat-Armenia's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

The data offers no clear edge here. These sides are separated by the finest of margins across every key metric, making the final result almost impossible to call in advance.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the UEFA Champions League (2026-08-11): Celje defeated Ararat-Armenia 2-0. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Celje's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Ararat-Armenia. Celje secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Ararat-Armenia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Celje will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams met recently in the UEFA Champions League (2026-08-04): Ararat-Armenia defeated Celje 2-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Ararat-Armenia's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Celje. Ararat-Armenia secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Celje will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Ararat-Armenia will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Ararat-Armenia

Ararat-Armenia

VS
Celje

Celje

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Ararat-Armenia

3W 1D 3L · 10 goals scored · 9 conceded

Celje

4W 4D 2L · 17 goals scored · 16 conceded

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