Ararat-Armenia vs Celje Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Ararat-Armenia vs Celje: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Celje
Away Team
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Performance Radar
Categories Won
Ararat-Armenia
Draw
Celje
Statistical Comparison
3W, 1D, 3L
4W, 4D, 2L
10 / 7 matches
17 / 10 matches
9 / 7 matches
16 / 10 matches
+1
+1
2 / 7 matches
3 / 10 matches
3 / 7 matches
6 / 10 matches
4 / 7 matches
6 / 10 matches
3W / 3 matches
2W / 5 matches
0W / 4 matches
2W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 95.3, Opponent Quality: 76.4
League Difficulty: 87.5, Opponent Quality: 73.0
3W / 7 matches
2W / 7 matches
Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.46
Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.28
Attack: 58.6, Defense: 71.2, Form: 54.0
Attack: 66.8, Defense: 55.0, Form: 47.1
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Celje
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but when we adjust for opponent quality, the picture becomes even more intriguing. Both teams have earned their statistics against comparable opposition.
With comparable strength of schedule figures (75.6 vs 67.8), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.
Celje holds the attacking edge with 1.7 goals per match versus Ararat-Armenia's 1.4, though the gap isn't insurmountable.
Ararat-Armenia has the defensive edge, conceding 1.3 per match compared to Celje's 1.6.
Ararat-Armenia has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 3 of 7 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Celje has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 7 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Ararat-Armenia has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.
Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.0 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.
📈 Form Momentum: Celje has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
⚠️ Risk Factor: In matches this evenly balanced, the deciding factor often comes down to set pieces and individual errors. Both teams should be wary of complacency in a match where neither side has a clear edge.
💡 Why This Matters: Ararat-Armenia's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.
The data offers no clear edge here. These sides are separated by the finest of margins across every key metric, making the final result almost impossible to call in advance.
These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the UEFA Champions League (2026-08-11): Celje defeated Ararat-Armenia 2-0. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Celje's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Ararat-Armenia. Celje secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Ararat-Armenia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Celje will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams met recently in the UEFA Champions League (2026-08-04): Ararat-Armenia defeated Celje 2-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Ararat-Armenia's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Celje. Ararat-Armenia secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Celje will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Ararat-Armenia will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
Ararat-Armenia
Celje
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Ararat-Armenia
3W 1D 3L · 10 goals scored · 9 conceded
Celje
4W 4D 2L · 17 goals scored · 16 conceded
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