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Compare Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock

Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Ararat-Armenia vs Shamrock: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia Home Team
Shamrock Shamrock Away Team
Ararat-Armenia
57.8
D L W L W L W

Last 10 Matches

Shamrock
61.3
D L L W W D W L W W

Performance Radar

Ararat-Armenia
Shamrock

Categories Won

4

Ararat-Armenia

3

Draw

8

Shamrock

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
43%

3W, 1D, 3L

50%

5W, 2D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

10 / 7 matches

2.1

21 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

9 / 7 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+1

+1

+4

+4

Clean Sheet
29%

2 / 7 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
43%

3 / 7 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
57%

4 / 7 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Sandro Lima (3 goals)
J. McGovern (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 11
Home Win Rate
100%

3W / 3 matches

83%

5W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
75.6

League Difficulty: 95.3, Opponent Quality: 76.4

66.2

League Difficulty: 71.9, Opponent Quality: 64.1

Elite Opponent Record
43%

3W / 7 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.89

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.46

2.25

Actual: 2.1 | Diff: -0.15

Adjusted Power Rating
57.8

Attack: 58.6, Defense: 71.2, Form: 54.0

61.3

Attack: 81.3, Defense: 50.4, Form: 58.1

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

3
1

16-30'

3
1

31-45'

4
2

46-60'

5
4

61-75'

3
2

76-90+'

3
Ararat-Armenia
Shamrock
Ararat-Armenia

Power Rating Breakdown

57.8

Overall

Attack 58.6
Defense 71.2
Form 54.0
Consistency 41.2
Shamrock

Power Rating Breakdown

61.3

Overall

Attack 81.3
Defense 50.4
Form 58.1
Consistency 45.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

95.3 vs 71.9

Opponent Quality

76.4 vs 64.1

Elite Opponent Record

43% vs 60%
Ararat-Armenia logo Ararat-Armenia
D
U Craiova (70%)
L
Celje (76%)
W
Celje (71%)
L
Shamrock (77%)
W
Shamrock (72%)
L
Riga (86%)
W
Riga (83%)
Shamrock logo Shamrock
D
KuPS (56%)
L
St Pat's (58%)
L
Egnatia (78%)
W
Dundalk (45%)
W
Egnatia (74%)
D
Drogheda (52%)
W
Ararat-Armenia (76%)
L
Ararat-Armenia (80%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
U Craiova A
1 - 1 D
70%
Celje A
0 - 2 L
76%
Celje H
2 - 1 W
71%
Shamrock A
1 - 2 L
77%
Shamrock H
2 - 0 W
72%
Riga A
2 - 3 L
86%
Riga H
2 - 0 W
83%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
KuPS H
1 - 1 D
56%
St Pat's A
2 - 3 L
58%
Egnatia A
1 - 5 L
78%
Dundalk H
3 - 2 W
45%
Egnatia H
3 - 1 W
74%
Drogheda A
0 - 0 D
52%
Ararat-Armenia H
2 - 1 W
76%
Ararat-Armenia A
0 - 2 L
80%
Cork H
4 - 1 W
40%
Floriana H
5 - 1 W
82%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but when we adjust for opponent quality, the picture becomes even more intriguing. Both teams have earned their statistics against comparable opposition.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (75.6 vs 66.2), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Offensively, Shamrock outperforms Ararat-Armenia with 2.1 goals per match to 1.4, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Ararat-Armenia has the defensive edge, conceding 1.3 per match compared to Shamrock's 1.7.

Ararat-Armenia has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 3 of 7 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Shamrock has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 3 of 5 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Ararat-Armenia has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Statistical modeling projects 3.3 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Shamrock has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Shamrock faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.7 goals per match. If Ararat-Armenia can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: Ararat-Armenia's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the UEFA Champions League (2026-07-28): Shamrock defeated Ararat-Armenia 2-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Shamrock's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Ararat-Armenia. Shamrock secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Ararat-Armenia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Shamrock will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams met recently in the UEFA Champions League (2026-07-21): Ararat-Armenia defeated Shamrock 2-0. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Ararat-Armenia's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Shamrock. Ararat-Armenia secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Shamrock will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Ararat-Armenia will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Ararat-Armenia

Ararat-Armenia

VS
Shamrock

Shamrock

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Ararat-Armenia

3W 1D 3L · 10 goals scored · 9 conceded

Shamrock

5W 2D 3L · 21 goals scored · 17 conceded

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