Argentina vs Cuba Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 46.0 vs 47.6), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Argentina holds the attacking edge with 2.1 goals per match versus Cuba's 1.3, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Argentina — 0.6 goals conceded per game and 4 clean sheets put them well ahead of Cuba, who give up 2.7 goals per match at the other end.

Argentina has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Cuba has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Argentina has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Argentina is a strong road performer with a 100% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.4 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: Argentina has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.57 points per game over their last 7 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Cuba is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 3 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Argentina is on the rise with 6W in last 7, while Cuba shows signs of decline with 0W in last 3.

💡 Why This Matters: The 45.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Argentina. In practical terms, Argentina would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Our opponent-adjusted metrics point overwhelmingly in one direction: Argentina holds a commanding advantage here. The power rating gap — 74.2 against 29.1 — reinforces what the underlying numbers already suggest, making Argentina a strong and justified favorite to win decisively.

These two teams met recently in the FIFA U20 World Cup (2025-09-29): Argentina defeated Cuba 1-3. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Argentina's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Cuba. Notably, Argentina achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Cuba shows genuine quality and mental strength. Cuba will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Argentina will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.