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Compare Argentina vs Brazil

Argentina vs Brazil Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Argentina vs Brazil: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Argentina Argentina Home Team
Brazil Brazil Away Team
Argentina
91.8
L W W W W W W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Brazil
72.4
L W W W D W W W L D

Performance Radar

Argentina
Brazil

Categories Won

11

Argentina

1

Draw

3

Brazil

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
90%

9W, 0D, 1L

60%

6W, 2D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
2.4

24 / 10 matches

2.3

23 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.8

8 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+16

+16

+12

+12

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
L. Messi (9 goals)
Vinícius Júnior (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 7 / 2nd Half: 17
1st Half: 11 / 2nd Half: 12
Home Win Rate
100%

7W / 7 matches

56%

5W / 9 matches

Away Win Rate
67%

2W / 3 matches

100%

1W / 1 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
69.2

League Difficulty: 84.0, Opponent Quality: 65.9

63.6

League Difficulty: 82.5, Opponent Quality: 63.9

Elite Opponent Record
50%

1W / 2 matches

33%

1W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.85

Actual: 2.4 | Diff: -0.45

2.59

Actual: 2.3 | Diff: -0.29

Adjusted Power Rating
91.8

Attack: 95.4, Defense: 87.4, Form: 100

72.4

Attack: 87.1, Defense: 71.9, Form: 68.2

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

3
3

16-30'

1
3

31-45'

4
2

46-60'

8
1

61-75'

1
12

76-90+'

6
Argentina
Brazil
Argentina

Power Rating Breakdown

91.8

Overall

Attack 95.4
Defense 87.4
Form 100
Consistency 75.7
Brazil

Power Rating Breakdown

72.4

Overall

Attack 87.1
Defense 71.9
Form 68.2
Consistency 52.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

84.0 vs 82.5

Opponent Quality

65.9 vs 63.9

Elite Opponent Record

50% vs 33%
Argentina logo Argentina
L
Spain (88%)
W
England (85%)
W
Switzerland (68%)
W
Egypt (66%)
W
Cape Verde (64%)
W
Jordan (48%)
W
Austria (67%)
W
Algeria (69%)
Brazil logo Brazil
L
Norway (67%)
W
Japan (78%)
W
Scotland (68%)
W
Haiti (54%)
D
Morocco (78%)
W
Egypt (64%)
W
Panama (52%)
W
Croatia (63%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Spain A
0 - 1 L
88%
England A
2 - 1 W
85%
Switzerland H
3 - 1 W
68%
Egypt H
3 - 2 W
66%
Cape Verde H
3 - 2 W
64%
Jordan A
3 - 1 W
48%
Austria H
2 - 0 W
67%
Algeria H
3 - 0 W
69%
Iceland H
3 - 0 W
46%
Honduras H
2 - 0 W
58%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Norway H
1 - 2 L
67%
Japan H
2 - 1 W
78%
Scotland A
3 - 0 W
68%
Haiti H
3 - 0 W
54%
Morocco H
1 - 1 D
78%
Egypt H
2 - 1 W
64%
Panama H
6 - 2 W
52%
Croatia H
3 - 1 W
63%
France H
1 - 2 L
72%
Tunisia H
1 - 1 D
43%

AI Analysis

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 69.2 vs 63.6), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Argentina averaging 2.4 and Brazil averaging 2.3 goals per match.

Defensively, Argentina holds the advantage — allowing just 0.8 goals per game against Brazil's 1.1.

Brazil has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Argentina has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Brazil is a strong road performer with a 100% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 3.3 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

🔥 Form Momentum: Argentina is in scorching form, winning 9 of their last 10 matches with 24 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📈 Form Momentum: Brazil has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Argentina is on the rise with 9W in last 10, while Brazil shows signs of decline with 6W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 19.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Argentina. In practical terms, Argentina would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Argentina in this contest. Their superior power rating of 91.8, compared to 72.4 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Argentina

Argentina

VS
Brazil

Brazil

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Argentina

9W 0D 1L · 24 goals scored · 8 conceded

Brazil

6W 2D 2L · 23 goals scored · 11 conceded

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