Aston Villa vs Brighton Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Aston Villa vs Brighton: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Aston Villa
Home Team
Brighton
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Aston Villa
Draw
Brighton
Statistical Comparison
1W, 1D, 8L
4W, 3D, 3L
12 / 10 matches
13 / 10 matches
29 / 10 matches
14 / 10 matches
-17
-1
1 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
0W / 5 matches
1W / 5 matches
1W / 5 matches
3W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 47.2
League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 51.0
0W / 0 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 1.2 | Diff: +0.1
Actual: 1.3 | Diff: 0.0
Attack: 38.5, Defense: 3.2, Form: 9.6
Attack: 42.7, Defense: 52.6, Form: 39.4
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Aston Villa
Brighton
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 46.3 vs 48.6), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Aston Villa averaging 1.2 and Brighton averaging 1.3 goals per match.
Brighton holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 1.4 goals per game and recording 3 clean sheets, compared to Aston Villa's leaky backline that surrenders 2.9 goals per match.
Aston Villa has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Brighton has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Brighton is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.4 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.
❄️ Form Momentum: Aston Villa is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
📈 Form Momentum: Brighton has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Brighton is on the rise with 4W in last 10, while Aston Villa shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Brighton faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.4 goals per match. If Aston Villa can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 18.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Brighton. In practical terms, Brighton would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
The numbers point firmly toward Brighton in this contest. Their superior power rating of 45.4, compared to 26.5 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Aston Villa
Brighton
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Aston Villa
1W 1D 8L · 12 goals scored · 29 conceded
Brighton
4W 3D 3L · 13 goals scored · 14 conceded
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