Aston Villa vs West Ham Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 46.3 vs 46.1), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Aston Villa averaging 1.2 and West Ham averaging 1.0 goals per match.

West Ham holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 1.7 goals per game and recording 3 clean sheets, compared to Aston Villa's leaky backline that surrenders 2.9 goals per match.

Aston Villa has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

West Ham has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.4 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Aston Villa is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, West Ham faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.7 goals per match. If Aston Villa can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 9.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 74% win probability for West Ham. In practical terms, West Ham would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward West Ham, with a 9.6-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

In their recent Women's Super League match (2026-05-04), West Ham prevailed 0-2 against Aston Villa. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, West Ham achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Aston Villa shows genuine quality and mental strength. Aston Villa will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. West Ham will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.