Villa vs Bologna Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (68.8 vs 62.0), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Villa possess a formidable attacking unit, with O. Watkins accounting for 6 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 2.2 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

Villa's backline outperforms Bologna's, with 1.1 goals conceded per match versus 1.8.

Villa has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Bologna has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Statistical modeling projects 3.1 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Villa has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 28.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Villa. In practical terms, Villa would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Villa emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (68.6 vs 40.5) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

In their recent UEFA Europa League encounter (2026-04-16), Villa came out on top with a 4-0 victory over Bologna. European competition results carry significant weight in assessing the balance of power between these sides. Villa secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 4-0 scoreline was emphatic — Villa completely dominated Bologna in that encounter, raising serious questions about Bologna's ability to compete at this level. Bologna will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Villa will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.