Villa vs Chelsea Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Villa vs Chelsea: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Villa
Home Team
Chelsea
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Villa
Draw
Chelsea
Statistical Comparison
5W, 1D, 4L
3W, 1D, 6L
22 / 10 matches
12 / 10 matches
11 / 10 matches
19 / 10 matches
+11
-7
3 / 10 matches
1 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
2W / 3 matches
3W / 7 matches
3W / 7 matches
0W / 3 matches
League Difficulty: 83.5, Opponent Quality: 65.4
League Difficulty: 82.1, Opponent Quality: 67.3
2W / 4 matches
1W / 7 matches
Actual: 2.2 | Diff: -0.59
Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.15
Attack: 87.1, Defense: 75.2, Form: 59.4
Attack: 44.0, Defense: 40.3, Form: 33.0
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Villa
Chelsea
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.
The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 68.8 vs 59.9), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.
Villa possess a formidable attacking unit, with O. Watkins accounting for 6 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 2.2 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.
Villa's backline outperforms Chelsea's, with 1.1 goals conceded per match versus 1.9.
Villa has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.
Chelsea has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 7 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.
📈 Form Momentum: Villa has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
💡 Why This Matters: The 28.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Villa. In practical terms, Villa would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Villa emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (68.6 vs 40.1) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Villa
Chelsea
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Villa
5W 1D 4L · 22 goals scored · 11 conceded
Chelsea
3W 1D 6L · 12 goals scored · 19 conceded
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