Villa vs Man Utd Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Villa vs Man Utd: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Villa
Home Team
Man Utd
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Villa
Draw
Man Utd
Statistical Comparison
5W, 1D, 4L
6W, 2D, 2L
24 / 10 matches
20 / 10 matches
14 / 10 matches
10 / 10 matches
+10
+10
3 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
2W / 4 matches
3W / 5 matches
3W / 6 matches
3W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 78.2, Opponent Quality: 62.9
League Difficulty: 87.4, Opponent Quality: 67.6
2W / 4 matches
2W / 5 matches
Actual: 2.4 | Diff: -0.46
Actual: 2.0 | Diff: -0.61
Attack: 92.6, Defense: 61.8, Form: 57.9
Attack: 79.1, Defense: 79.1, Form: 71.2
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Villa
Man Utd
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.
The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 65.8 vs 68.6), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.
Villa holds the attacking edge with 2.4 goals per match versus Man Utd's 2.0, though the gap isn't insurmountable.
Defensively, Man Utd holds the advantage — allowing just 1.0 goals per game against Villa's 1.4.
Villa has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.
Man Utd has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Man Utd is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.
Statistical modeling projects 3.4 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.
📈 Form Momentum: Villa has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📈 Form Momentum: Man Utd has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
💡 Why This Matters: The 6.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 66% win probability for Man Utd. In practical terms, Man Utd would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.
The numbers lean toward Man Utd, with a 6.2-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Villa
Man Utd
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Villa
5W 1D 4L · 24 goals scored · 14 conceded
Man Utd
6W 2D 2L · 20 goals scored · 10 conceded
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