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Compare Athletic vs Alavés

Athletic vs Alavés Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Athletic vs Alavés: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Athletic Athletic Home Team
Alavés Alavés Away Team
Athletic
45.0
L D L L W L W L L W

Last 10 Matches

Alavés
54.3
L W W D L W L D D W

Performance Radar

Athletic
Alavés

Categories Won

2

Athletic

3

Draw

10

Alavés

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 1D, 6L

40%

4W, 3D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.8

18 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-5

-5

0

0

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Gorka Guruzeta (4 goals)
Toni Martínez (9 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 10
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
69.0

League Difficulty: 93.0, Opponent Quality: 67.4

66.8

League Difficulty: 93.0, Opponent Quality: 66.6

Elite Opponent Record
33%

2W / 6 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.76

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.46

1.98

Actual: 1.8 | Diff: -0.18

Adjusted Power Rating
45.0

Attack: 51.6, Defense: 47.6, Form: 35.7

54.3

Attack: 70.1, Defense: 46.7, Form: 46.7

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

3
3

16-30'

2
1

31-45'

1
3

46-60'

5
1

61-75'

3
5

76-90+'

4
Athletic
Alavés
Athletic

Power Rating Breakdown

45.0

Overall

Attack 51.6
Defense 47.6
Form 35.7
Consistency 46.0
Alavés

Power Rating Breakdown

54.3

Overall

Attack 70.1
Defense 46.7
Form 46.7
Consistency 50.5

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

93.0 vs 93.0

Opponent Quality

67.4 vs 66.6

Elite Opponent Record

33% vs 25%
Athletic logo Athletic
L
Real Madrid (75%)
D
Celta Vigo (56%)
L
Espanyol (62%)
L
Valencia (70%)
W
Alavés (72%)
L
Atlético (69%)
W
Osasuna (56%)
L
Villarreal (72%)
Alavés logo Alavés
L
Rayo (77%)
W
Oviedo (59%)
W
Barcelona (75%)
D
Elche (74%)
L
Athletic (57%)
W
Mallorca (66%)
L
Real Madrid (75%)
D
Real Sociedad (66%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Real Madrid A
2 - 4 L
75%
Celta Vigo H
1 - 1 D
56%
Espanyol A
0 - 2 L
62%
Valencia H
0 - 1 L
70%
Alavés A
4 - 2 W
72%
Atlético A
2 - 3 L
69%
Osasuna H
1 - 0 W
56%
Villarreal H
1 - 2 L
72%
Getafe A
0 - 2 L
72%
Betis H
2 - 1 W
70%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Rayo H
1 - 2 L
77%
Oviedo A
1 - 0 W
59%
Barcelona H
1 - 0 W
75%
Elche A
1 - 1 D
74%
Athletic H
2 - 4 L
57%
Mallorca H
2 - 1 W
66%
Real Madrid A
1 - 2 L
75%
Real Sociedad A
3 - 3 D
66%
Osasuna H
2 - 2 D
56%
Celta Vigo A
4 - 3 W
61%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 69.0 vs 66.8), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Alavés holds the attacking edge with 1.8 goals per match versus Athletic's 1.3, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Athletic conceding 1.8 and Alavés conceding 1.8 per match.

Athletic has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Alavés has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.4 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Alavés has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 9.3 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

In the Spanish La Liga (2026-05-02), Athletic beat Alavés 2-4. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Notably, Athletic achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Alavés shows genuine quality and mental strength. Alavés will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Athletic will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Athletic

Athletic

VS
Alavés

Alavés

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Athletic

3W 1D 6L · 13 goals scored · 18 conceded

Alavés

4W 3D 3L · 18 goals scored · 18 conceded

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