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Compare Athletic vs Celta Vigo

Athletic vs Celta Vigo Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Athletic vs Celta Vigo: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Athletic Athletic Home Team
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo Away Team
Athletic
45.0
L D L L W L W L L W

Last 10 Matches

Celta Vigo
39.7
W D L W W L L L L L

Performance Radar

Athletic
Celta Vigo

Categories Won

8

Athletic

4

Draw

3

Celta Vigo

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 1D, 6L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-5

-5

-7

-7

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Gorka Guruzeta (4 goals)
Borja Iglesias (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
69.0

League Difficulty: 93.0, Opponent Quality: 67.4

59.8

League Difficulty: 91.4, Opponent Quality: 66.4

Elite Opponent Record
33%

2W / 6 matches

0%

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.76

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.46

1.38

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: -0.38

Adjusted Power Rating
45.0

Attack: 51.6, Defense: 47.6, Form: 35.7

39.7

Attack: 36.6, Defense: 47.6, Form: 32.9

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

3
3

16-30'

1
1

31-45'

3

46-60'

2
1

61-75'

2
5

76-90+'

2
Athletic
Celta Vigo
Athletic

Power Rating Breakdown

45.0

Overall

Attack 51.6
Defense 47.6
Form 35.7
Consistency 46.0
Celta Vigo

Power Rating Breakdown

39.7

Overall

Attack 36.6
Defense 47.6
Form 32.9
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

93.0 vs 91.4

Opponent Quality

67.4 vs 66.4

Elite Opponent Record

33% vs 0%
Athletic logo Athletic
L
Real Madrid (75%)
D
Celta Vigo (56%)
L
Espanyol (62%)
L
Valencia (70%)
W
Alavés (72%)
L
Atlético (69%)
W
Osasuna (56%)
L
Villarreal (72%)
Celta Vigo logo Celta Vigo
W
Sevilla (59%)
D
Athletic (62%)
L
Levante (71%)
W
Atlético (69%)
W
Elche (69%)
L
Villarreal (77%)
L
Barcelona (80%)
L
Freiburg (59%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Real Madrid A
2 - 4 L
75%
Celta Vigo H
1 - 1 D
56%
Espanyol A
0 - 2 L
62%
Valencia H
0 - 1 L
70%
Alavés A
4 - 2 W
72%
Atlético A
2 - 3 L
69%
Osasuna H
1 - 0 W
56%
Villarreal H
1 - 2 L
72%
Getafe A
0 - 2 L
72%
Betis H
2 - 1 W
70%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Sevilla H
1 - 0 W
59%
Athletic A
1 - 1 D
62%
Levante H
2 - 3 L
71%
Atlético A
1 - 0 W
69%
Elche H
3 - 1 W
69%
Villarreal A
1 - 2 L
77%
Barcelona A
0 - 1 L
80%
Freiburg H
1 - 3 L
59%
Oviedo H
0 - 3 L
54%
Freiburg A
0 - 3 L
64%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 69.0 vs 59.8), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Athletic holds the attacking edge with 1.3 goals per match versus Celta Vigo's 1.0, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Athletic conceding 1.8 and Celta Vigo conceding 1.7 per match.

Athletic has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Celta Vigo has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Athletic has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 5.3 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

These two teams drew 1-1 in the Spanish La Liga (2026-05-17). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Athletic

Athletic

VS
Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Athletic

3W 1D 6L · 13 goals scored · 18 conceded

Celta Vigo

3W 1D 6L · 10 goals scored · 17 conceded

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