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Compare Athletico PR vs Bahia

Athletico PR vs Bahia Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Athletico PR vs Bahia: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Athletico PR Athletico PR Home Team
Bahia Bahia Away Team
Athletico PR
57.0
W W W W D L D W L W

Last 10 Matches

Bahia
42.6
D W W L D L D L W L

Performance Radar

Athletico PR
Bahia

Categories Won

9

Athletico PR

2

Draw

4

Bahia

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 2D, 2L

30%

3W, 3D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.6

6 / 10 matches

1.5

15 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+7

+7

-1

-1

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
30%

3 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
40%

4 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
K. Viveros (7 goals)
Luciano Juba (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 10
Home Win Rate
67%

4W / 6 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
46.5

League Difficulty: 68.0, Opponent Quality: 55.1

47.6

League Difficulty: 68.0, Opponent Quality: 58.3

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 2 matches

0%

0W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.45

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: -0.15

1.33

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: +0.07

Adjusted Power Rating
57.0

Attack: 41.8, Defense: 77.2, Form: 57.9

42.6

Attack: 45.5, Defense: 48.8, Form: 29.3

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

1

16-30'

2
2

31-45'

1
6

46-60'

3

61-75'

3
4

76-90+'

4
Athletico PR
Bahia
Athletico PR

Power Rating Breakdown

57.0

Overall

Attack 41.8
Defense 77.2
Form 57.9
Consistency 52.0
Bahia

Power Rating Breakdown

42.6

Overall

Attack 45.5
Defense 48.8
Form 29.3
Consistency 53.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

68.0 vs 68.0

Opponent Quality

55.1 vs 58.3

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Athletico PR logo Athletico PR
W
Internacional (48%)
W
São Paulo (51%)
W
Mirassol (59%)
W
Remo (56%)
D
Flamengo (72%)
L
Vasco (51%)
D
Grêmio (50%)
W
Vitória (58%)
Bahia logo Bahia
D
Atlético MG (59%)
W
Chapecoense (34%)
W
Botafogo (59%)
L
Coritiba (57%)
D
Grêmio (50%)
L
Cruzeiro (65%)
D
São Paulo (51%)
L
Flamengo (77%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Internacional H
2 - 0 W
48%
São Paulo A
2 - 1 W
51%
Mirassol H
1 - 0 W
59%
Remo A
2 - 1 W
56%
Flamengo H
1 - 1 D
72%
Vasco A
0 - 1 L
51%
Grêmio H
0 - 0 D
50%
Vitória H
3 - 1 W
58%
Palmeiras A
0 - 1 L
72%
Chapecoense H
2 - 0 W
34%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Atlético MG A
1 - 1 D
59%
Chapecoense H
2 - 0 W
34%
Botafogo H
2 - 1 W
59%
Coritiba A
2 - 3 L
57%
Grêmio H
1 - 1 D
50%
Cruzeiro H
1 - 2 L
65%
São Paulo A
2 - 2 D
51%
Flamengo A
0 - 2 L
77%
Mirassol A
2 - 1 W
64%
Palmeiras H
1 - 2 L
67%

AI Analysis

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 46.5 vs 47.6), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

The attacking output of Athletico PR and Bahia is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 1.3 and 1.4 goals per game respectively.

Athletico PR holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 0.6 goals per game and recording 4 clean sheets, compared to Bahia's leaky backline that surrenders 1.5 goals per match.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.4 total goals. Going Under 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Athletico PR has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Athletico PR is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Bahia shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 14.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Athletico PR. In practical terms, Athletico PR would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Athletico PR has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 14.4-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Athletico PR

Athletico PR

VS
Bahia

Bahia

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Athletico PR

6W 2D 2L · 13 goals scored · 6 conceded

Bahia

3W 3D 4L · 14 goals scored · 15 conceded

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