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Compare Atlético vs Celta Vigo

Atlético vs Celta Vigo Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Atlético vs Celta Vigo: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Atlético Atlético Home Team
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo Away Team
Atlético
49.5
L W W L L W D W L D

Last 10 Matches

Celta Vigo
39.7
W D L W W L L L L L

Performance Radar

Atlético
Celta Vigo

Categories Won

10

Atlético

4

Draw

1

Celta Vigo

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 2D, 4L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-2

-2

-7

-7

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
A. Sørloth (3 goals)
Borja Iglesias (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
63.7

League Difficulty: 89.0, Opponent Quality: 66.1

59.8

League Difficulty: 91.4, Opponent Quality: 66.4

Elite Opponent Record
20%

1W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 3 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.57

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.17

1.38

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: -0.38

Adjusted Power Rating
49.5

Attack: 53.1, Defense: 53.1, Form: 45.5

39.7

Attack: 36.6, Defense: 47.6, Form: 32.9

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

3
2

16-30'

1
2

31-45'

3

46-60'

2
2

61-75'

2
3

76-90+'

2
Atlético
Celta Vigo
Atlético

Power Rating Breakdown

49.5

Overall

Attack 53.1
Defense 53.1
Form 45.5
Consistency 44.8
Celta Vigo

Power Rating Breakdown

39.7

Overall

Attack 36.6
Defense 47.6
Form 32.9
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

89.0 vs 91.4

Opponent Quality

66.1 vs 66.4

Elite Opponent Record

20% vs 0%
Atlético logo Atlético
L
Villarreal (77%)
W
Girona (56%)
W
Osasuna (61%)
L
Celta Vigo (56%)
L
Arsenal (84%)
W
Valencia (75%)
D
Arsenal (79%)
W
Athletic (57%)
Celta Vigo logo Celta Vigo
W
Sevilla (59%)
D
Athletic (62%)
L
Levante (71%)
W
Atlético (69%)
W
Elche (69%)
L
Villarreal (77%)
L
Barcelona (80%)
L
Freiburg (59%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Villarreal A
1 - 5 L
77%
Girona H
1 - 0 W
56%
Osasuna A
2 - 1 W
61%
Celta Vigo H
0 - 1 L
56%
Arsenal A
0 - 1 L
84%
Valencia A
2 - 0 W
75%
Arsenal H
1 - 1 D
79%
Athletic H
3 - 2 W
57%
Elche A
2 - 3 L
74%
Real Sociedad H
2 - 2 D
42%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Sevilla H
1 - 0 W
59%
Athletic A
1 - 1 D
62%
Levante H
2 - 3 L
71%
Atlético A
1 - 0 W
69%
Elche H
3 - 1 W
69%
Villarreal A
1 - 2 L
77%
Barcelona A
0 - 1 L
80%
Freiburg H
1 - 3 L
59%
Oviedo H
0 - 3 L
54%
Freiburg A
0 - 3 L
64%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 63.7 vs 59.8), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Atlético holds the attacking edge with 1.4 goals per match versus Celta Vigo's 1.0, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Atlético conceding 1.6 and Celta Vigo conceding 1.7 per match.

Atlético has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Celta Vigo has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.9 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Atlético has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 9.8 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

In the Spanish La Liga (2026-05-09), Celta Vigo beat Atlético 0-1. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Notably, Celta Vigo achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Atlético shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Atlético will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Celta Vigo will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Atlético

Atlético

VS
Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Atlético

4W 2D 4L · 14 goals scored · 16 conceded

Celta Vigo

3W 1D 6L · 10 goals scored · 17 conceded

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