Atlético MG vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Atlético MG vs Palmeiras: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Atlético MG
Home Team
Palmeiras
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Atlético MG
Draw
Palmeiras
Statistical Comparison
4W, 2D, 4L
5W, 4D, 1L
11 / 10 matches
17 / 10 matches
13 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
-2
+10
1 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
2W / 5 matches
2W / 5 matches
2W / 5 matches
3W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 68.0, Opponent Quality: 60.6
League Difficulty: 58.8, Opponent Quality: 53.1
1W / 2 matches
1W / 1 matches
Actual: 1.1 | Diff: -0.11
Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.16
Attack: 40.7, Defense: 62.8, Form: 44.4
Attack: 66.4, Defense: 89.8, Form: 58.5
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Atlético MG
Palmeiras
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 60.9 vs 67.1), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Palmeiras leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.7 goals per game compared to Atlético MG's 1.1 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.
Defensively, Palmeiras holds the advantage — allowing just 0.7 goals per game against Atlético MG's 1.3.
Palmeiras is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.4 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.
📈 Form Momentum: Palmeiras has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
💡 Why This Matters: The 21.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Palmeiras. In practical terms, Palmeiras would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Palmeiras emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (69.1 vs 47.9) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Atlético MG
Palmeiras
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Atlético MG
4W 2D 4L · 11 goals scored · 13 conceded
Palmeiras
5W 4D 1L · 17 goals scored · 7 conceded
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