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Compare Atromitos vs Larissa

Atromitos vs Larissa Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Atromitos vs Larissa: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Atromitos Atromitos Home Team
Larissa Larissa Away Team
Atromitos
61.2
W L W L L W W W D D

Last 10 Matches

Larissa
38.4
L W D D D L D L L L

Performance Radar

Atromitos
Larissa

Categories Won

11

Atromitos

2

Draw

2

Larissa

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 2D, 3L

10%

1W, 4D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
2.3

23 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+11

+11

-5

-5

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

90%

9 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
M. Baku (7 goals)
Ľ. Tupta (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 13 / 2nd Half: 10
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 8
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
52.6

League Difficulty: 56.0, Opponent Quality: 50.3

54.7

League Difficulty: 56.0, Opponent Quality: 53.9

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.5

Actual: 2.3 | Diff: -0.2

1.33

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.13

Adjusted Power Rating
61.2

Attack: 78.7, Defense: 61.6, Form: 51.3

38.4

Attack: 41.9, Defense: 45.4, Form: 10.5

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

2
4

16-30'

5

31-45'

2
2

46-60'

4
3

61-75'

6

76-90+'

4
Atromitos
Larissa
Atromitos

Power Rating Breakdown

61.2

Overall

Attack 78.7
Defense 61.6
Form 51.3
Consistency 45.7
Larissa

Power Rating Breakdown

38.4

Overall

Attack 41.9
Defense 45.4
Form 10.5
Consistency 75.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

56.0 vs 56.0

Opponent Quality

50.3 vs 53.9

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Atromitos logo Atromitos
W
Panserraikos (44%)
L
Larissa (46%)
W
Kifisia (56%)
L
Panaitolikos (43%)
L
Asteras (65%)
W
Asteras (60%)
W
Panserraikos (49%)
W
Larissa (41%)
Larissa logo Larissa
L
Kifisia (56%)
W
Atromitos (59%)
D
Panaitolikos (48%)
D
Asteras (60%)
D
Panserraikos (49%)
L
Panserraikos (44%)
D
Kifisia (51%)
L
Atromitos (64%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Panserraikos H
6 - 0 W
44%
Larissa A
1 - 2 L
46%
Kifisia A
3 - 0 W
56%
Panaitolikos H
1 - 2 L
43%
Asteras A
2 - 4 L
65%
Asteras H
2 - 1 W
60%
Panserraikos A
4 - 0 W
49%
Larissa H
3 - 2 W
41%
Kifisia H
0 - 0 D
51%
Panaitolikos A
1 - 1 D
48%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Kifisia A
2 - 3 L
56%
Atromitos H
2 - 1 W
59%
Panaitolikos A
1 - 1 D
48%
Asteras H
1 - 1 D
60%
Panserraikos A
1 - 1 D
49%
Panserraikos H
0 - 1 L
44%
Kifisia H
1 - 1 D
51%
Atromitos A
2 - 3 L
64%
Panaitolikos H
1 - 2 L
43%
Asteras A
1 - 3 L
65%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 52.6 vs 54.7), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Atromitos's attack is on another level, averaging 2.3 goals per match with M. Baku leading the charge (7 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

Atromitos has the defensive edge, conceding 1.2 per match compared to Larissa's 1.7.

Atromitos has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Larissa has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.2 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Atromitos has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Larissa is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Atromitos is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Larissa shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 22.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Atromitos. In practical terms, Atromitos would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Atromitos emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (61.2 vs 38.4) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Greek Super League match (2026-05-16), Larissa prevailed 2-1 against Atromitos. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Larissa secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Atromitos will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Larissa will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Greek Super League match (2026-04-18), Atromitos prevailed 3-2 against Larissa. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Atromitos secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 3-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Larissa will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Atromitos will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Atromitos

Atromitos

VS
Larissa

Larissa

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Atromitos

5W 2D 3L · 23 goals scored · 12 conceded

Larissa

1W 4D 5L · 12 goals scored · 17 conceded

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