Augsburg vs Dortmund Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 70.4 vs 63.4), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Offensively, Dortmund outperforms Augsburg with 1.9 goals per match to 1.5, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Defensively, Dortmund holds the advantage — allowing just 1.1 goals per game against Augsburg's 1.9.

Augsburg has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Dortmund has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Dortmund has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.2 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Dortmund has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Dortmund is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Augsburg shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 16.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Dortmund. In practical terms, Dortmund would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Dortmund emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (65.2 vs 48.6) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

In the German Bundesliga (2026-03-14), Dortmund beat Augsburg 2-0. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Dortmund secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Augsburg will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Dortmund will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.