Austin vs Earthquakes Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule filter reveals a much clearer picture.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 53.9 vs 52.1), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Earthquakes's attack is on another level, averaging 2.7 goals per match with P. Judd leading the charge with 9 goals. Austin manages just 1.4 per match.

Defensively, Earthquakes is far superior, conceding just 1.4 goals per match with 1 clean sheets, while Austin leaks 2.4 per match.

Austin has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Earthquakes has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Earthquakes is a strong road team with a 67% away win rate, suggesting they can perform regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 4.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Earthquakes is the clear and decisive favorite. Their superiority across attack (91.9), defense (54.5), and form (61.3) leaves little room for doubt. Austin will need an exceptional performance to compete.

In their recent US Major League Soccer match (2026-04-23), Earthquakes prevailed 5-1 against Austin. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Earthquakes secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 5-1 scoreline was emphatic — Earthquakes completely dominated Austin in that encounter, raising serious questions about Austin's ability to compete at this level. Austin will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Earthquakes will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.