Austria vs Tunisia Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 55.8 vs 51.1), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Austria leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.6 goals per game compared to Tunisia's 0.7 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Austria — 1.2 goals conceded per game and 3 clean sheets put them well ahead of Tunisia, who give up 2.3 goals per match at the other end.

Austria has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Tunisia has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Austria has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Statistical modeling projects 2.9 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Austria has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Tunisia is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Austria is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Tunisia shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Austria faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Tunisia can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 28.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Austria. In practical terms, Austria would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Austria in this contest. Their superior power rating of 55.5, compared to 27.2 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

In their recent Internationals match (2026-06-01), Austria prevailed 1-0 against Tunisia. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Austria secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Tunisia will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Austria will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.