Ayr Utd vs Morton Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Ayr Utd vs Morton: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Ayr Utd
Home Team
Morton
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Ayr Utd
Draw
Morton
Statistical Comparison
5W, 1D, 4L
1W, 2D, 7L
14 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
12 / 10 matches
19 / 10 matches
+2
-13
3 / 10 matches
1 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
3W / 6 matches
1W / 5 matches
2W / 4 matches
0W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 43.2, Opponent Quality: 47.1
League Difficulty: 43.2, Opponent Quality: 52.0
0W / 0 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 1.4 | Diff: +0.03
Actual: 0.6 | Diff: +0.14
Attack: 44.6, Defense: 57.3, Form: 47.8
Attack: 19.7, Defense: 36.1, Form: 9.8
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Ayr Utd
Morton
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.
The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 45.5 vs 48.5), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.
Offensively, Ayr Utd outperforms Morton with 1.4 goals per match to 0.6, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.
Defensively, Ayr Utd holds the advantage — allowing just 1.2 goals per game against Morton's 1.9.
Ayr Utd has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Morton has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.5 total goals. Going Under 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.
📈 Form Momentum: Ayr Utd has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
❄️ Form Momentum: Morton is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Ayr Utd is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Morton shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.
💡 Why This Matters: The 18.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Ayr Utd. In practical terms, Ayr Utd would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
The numbers point firmly toward Ayr Utd in this contest. Their superior power rating of 47.8, compared to 29.1 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Ayr Utd
Morton
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Ayr Utd
5W 1D 4L · 14 goals scored · 12 conceded
Morton
1W 2D 7L · 6 goals scored · 19 conceded
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