Bahamas vs Cayman Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 59.7 vs 58.4), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Cayman holds the attacking edge with 1.1 goals per match versus Bahamas's 0.3, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Defensively, Cayman is far superior, conceding just 1.9 goals per match with 2 clean sheets, while Bahamas leaks 4.3 goals per match.

Bahamas has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Cayman has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

❄️ Form Momentum: Bahamas is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 6 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Cayman is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 7 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Cayman faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.9 goals per match. If Bahamas can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 20.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Cayman. In practical terms, Cayman would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Cayman in this contest. Their superior power rating of 38.6, compared to 18.3 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

In their recent Internationals match (2026-03-30), Cayman prevailed 1-0 against Bahamas. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Cayman secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Bahamas will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Cayman will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.