Ballymena Utd vs Carrick Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 46.3 vs 44.8), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Ballymena Utd (2.1 goals per match) and Carrick (2.4 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with Ballymena Utd giving up 1.4 and Carrick giving up 1.5 per fixture.

Ballymena Utd has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Carrick has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Carrick is a strong road performer with a 83% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 3.7 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Ballymena Utd has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

🔥 Form Momentum: Carrick is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 24 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Carrick is on the rise with 7W in last 10, while Ballymena Utd shows signs of decline with 4W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Carrick faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.5 goals per match. If Ballymena Utd can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 8.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 72% win probability for Carrick. In practical terms, Carrick would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Carrick, with a 8.8-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

In their recent Club Friendlies match (2026-07-24), Ballymena Utd prevailed 0-3 against Carrick. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Ballymena Utd achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Carrick shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 0-3 scoreline was emphatic — Ballymena Utd completely dominated Carrick in that encounter, raising serious questions about Carrick's ability to compete at this level. Carrick will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Ballymena Utd will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.