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Compare Ballymena Utd vs Carrick

Ballymena Utd vs Carrick Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Ballymena Utd vs Carrick: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Ballymena Utd Ballymena Utd Home Team
Carrick Carrick Away Team
Ballymena Utd
39.6
L L D W D D W D L D

Last 10 Matches

Carrick
48.7
L W W L D W W L L D

Performance Radar

Ballymena Utd
Carrick

Categories Won

2

Ballymena Utd

4

Draw

9

Carrick

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
20%

2W, 5D, 3L

40%

4W, 2D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
1.4

14 / 10 matches

2.0

20 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-2

-2

+6

+6

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
80%

8 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
S. Edogun (5 goals)
D. Gibson (8 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 10
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 12
Home Win Rate
14%

1W / 7 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

1W / 3 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
43.3

League Difficulty: 42.0, Opponent Quality: 44.2

42.5

League Difficulty: 42.0, Opponent Quality: 42.8

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.26

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: +0.14

1.85

Actual: 2.0 | Diff: +0.15

Adjusted Power Rating
39.6

Attack: 43.5, Defense: 43.5, Form: 18.7

48.7

Attack: 61.7, Defense: 49.3, Form: 37.0

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

2

16-30'

1
3

31-45'

4
2

46-60'

2
5

61-75'

6
3

76-90+'

5
Ballymena Utd
Carrick
Ballymena Utd

Power Rating Breakdown

39.6

Overall

Attack 43.5
Defense 43.5
Form 18.7
Consistency 67.3
Carrick

Power Rating Breakdown

48.7

Overall

Attack 61.7
Defense 49.3
Form 37.0
Consistency 44.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

42.0 vs 42.0

Opponent Quality

44.2 vs 42.8

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Ballymena Utd logo Ballymena Utd
L
Crusaders (48%)
L
Portadown (37%)
D
Bangor (34%)
W
Carrick (52%)
D
Glenavon (46%)
D
Cliftonville (37%)
W
Carrick (47%)
D
Portadown (37%)
Carrick logo Carrick
L
Dungannon (32%)
W
Glenavon (51%)
W
Bangor (39%)
L
Ballymena Utd (42%)
D
Portadown (42%)
W
Crusaders (43%)
W
Linfield (41%)
L
Ballymena Utd (47%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Crusaders A
2 - 3 L
48%
Portadown H
1 - 2 L
37%
Bangor H
0 - 0 D
34%
Carrick A
3 - 2 W
52%
Glenavon H
1 - 1 D
46%
Cliftonville A
2 - 2 D
37%
Carrick H
2 - 1 W
47%
Portadown H
1 - 1 D
37%
Larne H
0 - 2 L
58%
Glenavon H
2 - 2 D
46%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Dungannon A
1 - 3 L
32%
Glenavon A
3 - 2 W
51%
Bangor A
3 - 0 W
39%
Ballymena Utd H
2 - 3 L
42%
Portadown A
1 - 1 D
42%
Crusaders H
6 - 1 W
43%
Linfield H
2 - 0 W
41%
Ballymena Utd A
1 - 2 L
47%
Glentoran A
0 - 1 L
57%
Bangor H
1 - 1 D
34%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 43.3 vs 42.5), making the raw statistics a reliable basis for comparison.

Carrick holds the attacking edge with 2.0 goals per match versus Ballymena Utd's 1.4, though the gap is not insurmountable.

Both defenses are comparable, with Ballymena Utd conceding 1.6 and Carrick conceding 1.4 per match.

Ballymena Utd has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Carrick has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with both teams to score being likely.

Carrick has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 9.1 point power rating difference suggests a competitive match where small details could decide the outcome.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Irish Premiership match (2026-04-11), Ballymena Utd prevailed 2-3 against Carrick. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Ballymena Utd achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Carrick shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 2-3 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Carrick will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Ballymena Utd will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Irish Premiership match (2026-03-14), Ballymena Utd prevailed 2-1 against Carrick. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Ballymena Utd secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Carrick will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Ballymena Utd will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Ballymena Utd

Ballymena Utd

VS
Carrick

Carrick

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Ballymena Utd

2W 5D 3L · 14 goals scored · 16 conceded

Carrick

4W 2D 4L · 20 goals scored · 14 conceded

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