Ballymena Utd vs Portadown Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 46.3 vs 49.2), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Ballymena Utd leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.1 goals per game compared to Portadown's 1.4 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Both defenses are comparable, with Ballymena Utd conceding 1.4 and Portadown conceding 1.6 per match.

Ballymena Utd has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Portadown has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.2 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Ballymena Utd has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Ballymena Utd faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.4 goals per match. If Portadown can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 8.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 72% win probability for Ballymena Utd. In practical terms, Ballymena Utd would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

While Ballymena Utd holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 8.9-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

In their recent Irish Premiership match (2026-04-18), Portadown prevailed 1-2 against Ballymena Utd. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Portadown achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Ballymena Utd shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 1-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Ballymena Utd will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Portadown will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.