Bangor vs Ballymena Utd Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 44.3 vs 46.3), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Ballymena Utd leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.1 goals per game compared to Bangor's 1.5 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Defensively, Bangor and Ballymena Utd are evenly matched, allowing 1.5 and 1.4 goals per game respectively.

Bangor has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Ballymena Utd has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Statistical modeling projects 3.2 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Ballymena Utd has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Ballymena Utd faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.4 goals per match. If Bangor can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 8.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 70% win probability for Ballymena Utd. In practical terms, Ballymena Utd would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Ballymena Utd, with a 8.2-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.