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Compare Barnet vs Newport

Barnet vs Newport Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Barnet vs Newport: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Barnet Barnet Home Team
Newport Newport Away Team
Barnet
59.1
W W W L D D L D W W

Last 10 Matches

Newport
42.8
L W D L W L D D W W

Performance Radar

Barnet
Newport

Categories Won

10

Barnet

3

Draw

2

Newport

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 3D, 2L

40%

4W, 3D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
2.4

24 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

2.0

20 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+11

+11

-3

-3

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
90%

9 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
C. Stead (6 goals)
B. Kamwa (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 12 / 2nd Half: 12
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 13
Home Win Rate
43%

3W / 7 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
67%

2W / 3 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
46.2

League Difficulty: 43.0, Opponent Quality: 48.4

44.4

League Difficulty: 43.0, Opponent Quality: 45.3

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.12

Actual: 2.4 | Diff: +0.28

1.47

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: +0.23

Adjusted Power Rating
59.1

Attack: 77.0, Defense: 54.5, Form: 48.1

42.8

Attack: 53.5, Defense: 31.5, Form: 37.8

Goal Timing Analysis

5

0-15'

2
4

16-30'

1
1

31-45'

1
4

46-60'

1
2

61-75'

2
4

76-90+'

6
Barnet
Newport
Barnet

Power Rating Breakdown

59.1

Overall

Attack 77.0
Defense 54.5
Form 48.1
Consistency 53.2
Newport

Power Rating Breakdown

42.8

Overall

Attack 53.5
Defense 31.5
Form 37.8
Consistency 50.5

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

43.0 vs 43.0

Opponent Quality

48.4 vs 45.3

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Barnet logo Barnet
W
Shrewsbury (38%)
W
Arsenal U21 (42%)
W
Salford (46%)
L
Cambridge U (59%)
D
Bromley (43%)
D
MK Dons (41%)
L
Oxford U (54%)
D
Luton (59%)
Newport logo Newport
L
Bristol R (58%)
W
Rochdale (33%)
D
Wimbledon (44%)
L
Roma (57%)
W
Yeovil (43%)
L
Reading (51%)
D
Bath (41%)
D
Bristol C (47%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Shrewsbury A
3 - 1 W
38%
Arsenal U21 H
5 - 1 W
42%
Salford H
3 - 1 W
46%
Cambridge U A
1 - 2 L
59%
Bromley H
1 - 1 D
43%
MK Dons H
0 - 0 D
41%
Oxford U H
1 - 2 L
54%
Luton H
2 - 2 D
59%
Harrogate A
2 - 1 W
64%
Gillingham H
6 - 2 W
38%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Bristol R A
3 - 5 L
58%
Rochdale H
3 - 0 W
33%
Wimbledon A
1 - 1 D
44%
Roma H
1 - 4 L
57%
Yeovil A
2 - 1 W
43%
Reading H
0 - 4 L
51%
Bath A
2 - 2 D
41%
Bristol C A
0 - 0 D
47%
Barrow A
2 - 1 W
43%
Oldham H
3 - 2 W
36%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 46.2 vs 44.4), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Offensively, Barnet outperforms Newport with 2.4 goals per match to 1.7, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Barnet has the defensive edge, conceding 1.3 per match compared to Newport's 2.0.

Barnet has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Newport has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Barnet is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.7 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: Barnet has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Newport has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Barnet faces a key vulnerability: they have kept only 1 clean sheets in their last 10 matches. If Newport can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 16.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Barnet. In practical terms, Barnet would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Barnet in this contest. Their superior power rating of 59.1, compared to 42.8 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Barnet

Barnet

VS
Newport

Newport

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Barnet

5W 3D 2L · 24 goals scored · 13 conceded

Newport

4W 3D 3L · 17 goals scored · 20 conceded

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